La Liga · Spain · Estadio de RiazorDeportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.84 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Sevilla to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Deportivo La Coruna 1.4 – 1.5 Sevilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Deportivo La Coruna and Sevilla on our numbers – 36% for the home side, 38% for the visitors and 25% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Deportivo La Coruna have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.2 per game. Sevilla have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.4 for Deportivo La Coruna, 1.5 for Sevilla). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 54% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.95 is better than our fair price of 1.84, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Sevilla to win at 2.90 is our value angle (38% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sevilla to win ✓ | 38% | 2.61 | 2.90 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.84 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.80 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.49 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 40% | 2.47 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sevilla / FT Sevilla ✗ | 23% | 4.41 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.73 | – |
Form
Deportivo La Coruna – last 6
| 13 Sep | @ Getafe | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Villarreal | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Aug | vs Valencia | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Aug | @ Malaga | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Aug | vs Elche | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Aug | vs Real Madrid | 0–1 | L |
Sevilla – last 6
| 11 Sep | vs Valencia | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Espanyol | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Atletico Madrid | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Athletic Club | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–1 | W |
| 8 Aug | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo La Coruna and Sevilla.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 12 | +35 | 33 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 12 | +21 | 30 |
| 3 |  Atletico Madrid | 12 | +13 | 28 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 12 | +5 | 26 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 12 | +1 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 12 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Racing Santander | 12 | -13 | 14 |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 |  Alaves | 12 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Espanyol | 12 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Rayo Vallecano | 11 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 |  Getafe | 12 | -10 | 12 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 12 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 |  Levante | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 |  Elche | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 12 | -12 | 9 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 12 | -14 | 5 |
More La Liga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla?
On our numbers Deportivo La Coruna have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sevilla 38%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla?
Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla (La Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Riazor.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.