Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.74
Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna preview and prediction
The match
The La Liga sees Atletico Madrid take on Osasuna on Wednesday 16 September, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. Atletico Madrid are 3rd with 28 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Osasuna sit 16th on 12 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atletico Madrid's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Real Sociedad 3–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Osasuna's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Espanyol 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Atletico Madrid arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 May 2026, finished Osasuna 1–2 Atletico Madrid.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.2 for Atletico Madrid and 0.7 for Osasuna. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atletico Madrid 68%, draw 23%, Osasuna 9%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atletico Madrid to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Atletico Madrid 2–0 Osasuna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Madrid68%fair 1.47 · @1.40
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @4.50
Osasuna9%fair 11.02 · @7.50
2.90Expected goals
2.17Atletico Madrid xG
0.73Osasuna xG
49%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–19%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Atletico Madrid 2.2 – 0.7 Osasuna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna?
Our pick is Atletico Madrid to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna?
On our numbers Atletico Madrid have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Osasuna 9%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna?
Our predicted score is Atletico Madrid 2–0 Osasuna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna?
Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna (La Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Riyadh Air Metropolitano.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
