Sevilla host Valencia in the La Liga on Friday 11 September, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT). Sevilla are 6th with 18 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Valencia sit 19th on 9 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Sevilla's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Espanyol 1–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Valencia's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Barcelona 0–5 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Sevilla arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.6 for Sevilla and 1.2 for Valencia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sevilla 47%, draw 23%, Valencia 29%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.80, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sevilla 1–1 Valencia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sevilla47%fair 2.11 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.10
Valencia29%fair 3.41 · @3.75
2.88Expected goals
1.64Sevilla xG
1.24Valencia xG
56%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Sevilla 1.6 – 1.2 Valencia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sevilla to win✓
47%
2.11
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sevilla / FT Sevilla✗
28%
3.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.67
–
Form
Sevilla – last 6
DLWWLW
6 Sep
@ Espanyol
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Atletico Madrid
1–3
L
22 Aug
@ Athletic Club
3–1
W
15 Aug
vs Rayo Vallecano
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Bayer Leverkusen
1–2
L
2 Aug
@ Utrecht
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Valencia – last 6
LLLDLD
6 Sep
vs Barcelona
0–5
L
30 Aug
@ Deportivo La Coruna
1–3
L
25 Aug
vs Real Betis
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Celta Vigo
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Newcastle
1–2
L
1 Aug
@ Stoke City
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sevilla and Valencia.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Sevilla vs Valencia?
On our numbers Sevilla have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Valencia 29%.
How many goals will there be in Sevilla vs Valencia?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sevilla vs Valencia?
Our predicted score is Sevilla 1–1 Valencia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sevilla vs Valencia?
Sevilla vs Valencia (La Liga) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
