Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.35
Celta Vigo vs Malaga preview and prediction
The match
Malaga travel to face Celta Vigo in the La Liga on Sunday 13 September (13:00 WAT). Celta Vigo are 11th with 13 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Malaga sit 20th on 5 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Celta Vigo's last 5: DDLLD Most recently they drew with Getafe 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Malaga's last 5: DLDLD Most recently they drew with Levante 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.2 for Celta Vigo and 0.4 for Malaga. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 77% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Celta Vigo 58%, draw 26%, Malaga 16%.
Safer route: Celta Vigo or draw (84%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (58%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.73, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Celta Vigo 1–0 Malaga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Celta Vigo58%fair 1.72 · @1.73
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.40
Malaga16%fair 6.25 · @4.80
1.67Expected goals
1.22Celta Vigo xG
0.45Malaga xG
42%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–023%
0–019%
2–014%
1–110%
0–18%
2–16%
From our goals model: Celta Vigo 1.2 – 0.4 Malaga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celta Vigo to win✗
58%
1.72
1.73
Double chance
Celta Vigo or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celta Vigo / FT Celta Vigo✗
32%
3.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
23%
4.35
–
Form
Celta Vigo – last 6
DDLLDD
7 Sep
@ Getafe
1–1
D
3 Sep
@ Real Sociedad
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs Athletic Club
0–2
L
27 Aug
vs Osasuna
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Valencia
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Napoli
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Malaga – last 6
DLDLDL
6 Sep
vs Levante
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Real Madrid
0–4
L
24 Aug
vs Deportivo La Coruna
1–1
D
19 Aug
@ Atletico Madrid
0–2
L
12 Aug
vs Fulham
2–2
D
7 Aug
@ AD Ceuta FC
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celta Vigo and Malaga.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Malaga?
On our numbers Celta Vigo have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Malaga 16%.
How many goals will there be in Celta Vigo vs Malaga?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celta Vigo vs Malaga?
Our predicted score is Celta Vigo 1–0 Malaga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Celta Vigo vs Malaga?
Celta Vigo vs Malaga (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
