Value bet: Getafe to win @ 3.80 – our chance 29% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOsasuna to win ✓47% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.88
Osasuna vs Getafe preview and prediction
The match
The La Liga sees Osasuna take on Getafe on Monday 31 August, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT) at Estadio El Sadar. Osasuna are 16th with 12 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Getafe sit 15th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Osasuna's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Celta Vigo 2–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Getafe's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to FK Partizan 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Osasuna arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.1 for Osasuna and 0.8 for Getafe. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Osasuna 47%, draw 24%, Getafe 29%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Getafe to win at 3.80 – 29% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Osasuna 1–0 Getafe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Osasuna47%fair 2.14 · @2.18
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.88
Getafe29%fair 3.43 · @3.80
1.86Expected goals
1.09Osasuna xG
0.77Getafe xG
49%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
0–016%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Osasuna 1.1 – 0.8 Getafe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Osasuna to win✓
47%
2.14
2.18
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
1.11
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Osasuna / FT Osasuna✓
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
17%
5.88
–
Form
Osasuna – last 6
WDLLWW
27 Aug
@ Celta Vigo
2–1
W
24 Aug
vs Levante
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Al Ain
0–2
L
5 Aug
@ Napoli
1–2
L
1 Aug
@ Norwich
2–1
W
29 Jul
@ Ipswich
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Getafe – last 6
LWWLDL
27 Aug
@ FK Partizan
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs Racing Santander
1–0
W
20 Aug
vs FK Partizan
3–1
W
15 Aug
@ Alaves
0–3
L
8 Aug
@ Tottenham
1–1
D
6 Aug
@ Monaco
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Osasuna and Getafe.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Osasuna vs Getafe?
On our numbers Osasuna have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Getafe 29%.
How many goals will there be in Osasuna vs Getafe?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Osasuna vs Getafe?
Our predicted score is Osasuna 1–0 Getafe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Osasuna vs Getafe?
Osasuna vs Getafe (La Liga) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Sadar.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
