Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna preview and prediction
The match
Malaga host Deportivo La Coruna in the La Liga on Monday 24 August, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT) at La Rosaleda. Malaga are 20th with 5 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Deportivo La Coruna sit 9th on 15 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Malaga's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Atletico Madrid 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Deportivo La Coruna's last 5: DLWDD Most recently they drew with Elche 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Deportivo La Coruna arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Malaga and 0.9 for Deportivo La Coruna. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Malaga 44%, draw 24%, Deportivo La Coruna 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.10.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 2.10, above our fair price of 1.89, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Malaga 1–1 Deportivo La Coruna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Malaga44%fair 2.26 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.90
Deportivo La Coruna32%fair 3.16 · @3.20
2.00Expected goals
1.12Malaga xG
0.88Deportivo La Coruna xG
53%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Malaga 1.1 – 0.9 Deportivo La Coruna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Malaga to win✗
44%
2.26
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Malaga / FT Malaga✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.59
–
Form
Malaga – last 6
LDLWDD
19 Aug
@ Atletico Madrid
0–2
L
12 Aug
vs Fulham
2–2
D
7 Aug
@ AD Ceuta FC
1–2
L
6 Aug
vs Al-Arabi SC
4–2
W
30 Jul
vs Al-Ittihad FC
2–2
D
25 Jul
vs Leicester
3–3
D
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Deportivo La Coruna – last 6
DLWDDW
17 Aug
vs Elche
1–1
D
12 Aug
vs Real Madrid
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Genoa
1–0
W
6 Aug
@ Fiorentina
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ FC St. Pauli
2–2
D
29 Jul
vs Lugo
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Malaga and Deportivo La Coruna.
What is the prediction for Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna?
On our numbers Malaga have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportivo La Coruna 32%.
How many goals will there be in Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Our predicted score is Malaga 1–1 Deportivo La Coruna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna (La Liga) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at La Rosaleda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
