Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Sevilla to win @ 2.28 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSevilla to win ✓51% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.32
Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano preview and prediction
The match
Sevilla host Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT). Sevilla are 6th with 18 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Rayo Vallecano sit 14th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Sevilla's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Bayer Leverkusen 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Rayo Vallecano's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Ipswich 0–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Sevilla arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Sevilla 1–1 Rayo Vallecano.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for Sevilla and 0.9 for Rayo Vallecano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 47%.
Value angle: Sevilla to win at 2.28 – 51% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sevilla 1–0 Rayo Vallecano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sevilla51%fair 1.96 · @2.28
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.05
Rayo Vallecano26%fair 3.90 · @3.30
2.36Expected goals
1.44Sevilla xG
0.92Rayo Vallecano xG
47%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
2–010%
0–09%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Sevilla 1.4 – 0.9 Rayo Vallecano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?
On our numbers Sevilla have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rayo Vallecano 26%.
How many goals will there be in Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?
Our predicted score is Sevilla 1–0 Rayo Vallecano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?
Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
