Value bet: Racing Santander to win @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVillarreal to win ✗41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.19
Racing Santander vs Villarreal preview and prediction
The match
Villarreal travel to El Sardinero in the La Liga on Sunday 16 August (16:00 WAT) to face Racing Santander. Racing Santander are 10th with 14 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Villarreal sit 8th on 15 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Racing Santander's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Alaves 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Villarreal's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Galatasaray 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Villarreal arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Racing Santander and 1.4 for Villarreal. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Racing Santander 36%, draw 23%, Villarreal 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Racing Santander to win at 3.20 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Racing Santander 1–1 Villarreal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Racing Santander36%fair 2.77 · @3.20
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.45
Villarreal41%fair 2.44 · @2.15
2.78Expected goals
1.34Racing Santander xG
1.44Villarreal xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Racing Santander 1.3 – 1.4 Villarreal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villarreal to win✗
41%
2.44
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villarreal / FT Villarreal✗
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
11.19
–
Form
Racing Santander – last 6
DWLLLD
7 Aug
vs Alaves
1–1
D
7 Aug
vs Sporting Gijon
4–1
W
1 Aug
@ Wolves
0–3
L
29 Jul
vs Athletic Club
0–3
L
24 Jul
@ Osasuna
0–2
L
18 Jul
@ Real Sociedad
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Villarreal – last 6
WWLWLW
8 Aug
@ Galatasaray
2–1
W
5 Aug
vs Levante
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Lens
1–3
L
25 Jul
@ PSV Eindhoven
3–1
W
17 Jul
@ Benfica
0–2
L
24 May
vs Atletico Madrid
5–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Racing Santander and Villarreal.
What is the prediction for Racing Santander vs Villarreal?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Racing Santander vs Villarreal?
On our numbers Racing Santander have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Villarreal 41%.
How many goals will there be in Racing Santander vs Villarreal?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Racing Santander vs Villarreal?
Our predicted score is Racing Santander 1–1 Villarreal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Racing Santander vs Villarreal?
Racing Santander vs Villarreal (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at El Sardinero.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
