Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Celta Vigo to win @ 1.90 – our chance 65% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCelta Vigo to win ✗65% · @1.90
Double chanceCelta Vigo or draw ✗87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.37
Celta Vigo vs Osasuna preview and prediction
The match
Osasuna travel to Estadio Abanca Balaídos in the La Liga on Thursday 27 August (19:30 WAT) to face Celta Vigo. Celta Vigo are 11th with 13 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Osasuna sit 16th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Celta Vigo's last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with Valencia 0–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Osasuna's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Levante 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Celta Vigo and 0.6 for Osasuna. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Celta Vigo 65%, draw 23%, Osasuna 13%.
Safer route: Celta Vigo or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Celta Vigo to win at 1.90 – 65% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Celta Vigo or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Celta Vigo 1–0 Osasuna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Celta Vigo65%fair 1.55 · @1.90
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.30
Osasuna13%fair 7.71 · @4.10
2.43Expected goals
1.78Celta Vigo xG
0.65Osasuna xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Celta Vigo 1.8 – 0.6 Osasuna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celta Vigo to win✗
65%
1.55
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Celta Vigo or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Half-time result
Celta Vigo ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celta Vigo / FT Celta Vigo✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.37
–
Form
Celta Vigo – last 6
DDWDWD
22 Aug
@ Valencia
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Napoli
1–1
D
5 Aug
@ Sassuolo
4–1
W
29 Jul
vs Academico Viseu
2–2
D
25 Jul
vs Sporting Gijon
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ SC Braga
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Osasuna – last 6
DLLWWW
24 Aug
vs Levante
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Al Ain
0–2
L
5 Aug
@ Napoli
1–2
L
1 Aug
@ Norwich
2–1
W
29 Jul
@ Ipswich
2–1
W
24 Jul
vs Racing Santander
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celta Vigo and Osasuna.
Our pick is Celta Vigo or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Osasuna?
On our numbers Celta Vigo have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Osasuna 13%.
How many goals will there be in Celta Vigo vs Osasuna?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celta Vigo vs Osasuna?
Our predicted score is Celta Vigo 1–0 Osasuna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Celta Vigo vs Osasuna?
Celta Vigo vs Osasuna (La Liga) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Abanca Balaídos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
