The Segunda División sees Valladolid take on Castellón on Saturday 14 November, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Valladolid are 12th with 18 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Castellón sit 2nd on 27 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Valladolid's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Sporting Gijon 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Castellón's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Burgos 1–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Valladolid and 1.6 for Castellón. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our prediction: Under 3.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.41. Predicted score: Valladolid 1–1 Castellón. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Valladolid34%fair 2.96 · @2.78
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.58
Castellón46%fair 2.18 · @2.29
2.87Expected goals
1.30Valladolid xG
1.57Castellón xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Valladolid 1.3 – 1.6 Castellón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Castellón to win
46%
2.18
2.29
Double chance
Either team to win
80%
1.26
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.68
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
78%
1.29
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
56%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
66%
1.52
1.41
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Castellón / FT Castellón
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.01
–
Form
Valladolid – last 6
WWWLLW
8 Nov
@ Sporting Gijon
2–1
W
2 Nov
vs Leganes
4–3
W
29 Oct
@ Covadonga
1–0
W
23 Oct
@ Granada CF
1–2
L
18 Oct
vs Eldense
2–3
L
12 Oct
vs Albacete
5–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Castellón – last 6
DWWWLD
1 Nov
@ Burgos
1–1
D
29 Oct
@ Conquense
3–0
W
25 Oct
vs Sporting Gijon
4–0
W
17 Oct
@ Las Palmas
3–0
W
11 Oct
@ FC Andorra
0–1
L
4 Oct
vs AD Ceuta FC
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valladolid and Castellón.
What is the prediction for Valladolid vs Castellón?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Valladolid vs Castellón?
On our numbers Valladolid have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Castellón 46%.
How many goals will there be in Valladolid vs Castellón?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valladolid vs Castellón?
Our predicted score is Valladolid 1–1 Castellón, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Valladolid vs Castellón?
Valladolid vs Castellón (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
