Segunda División · Spain · Estadio de Gran Canaria

Las Palmas

WDWLL
2–0
FT

Eldense

LWLWW

Las Palmas vs Eldense prediction & analysis

77%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Eldense to win @ 3.50 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultLas Palmas to win ✓45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.10

Win chances

Las Palmas45%fair 2.23 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.50
Eldense34%fair 2.90 · @3.50
2.83Expected goals
1.53Las Palmas xG
1.30Eldense xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Las Palmas 1.5 – 1.3 Eldense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Las Palmas hold the edge on home soil with a 45% chance of winning, against 34% for Eldense.

Las Palmas have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.8 per game. Eldense have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded. Eldense come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.8 goals (1.5 for Las Palmas, 1.3 for Eldense). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%).

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.30. For a bigger price, Eldense to win at 3.50 is our value angle (34% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLas Palmas to win ✓45%2.232.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.701.62
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.861.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.481.40
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Las Palmas / FT Las Palmas ✗25%3.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9%11.10–

Form

Las Palmas – last 6

WDWLLD
2 Nov@ Oviedo3–2W
27 Oct@ RSD Alcalá1–1D
24 Octvs Real Sociedad II1–0W
17 Octvs Castellón0–3L
11 Oct@ Mallorca1–3L
4 Octvs Valladolid2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Eldense – last 6

LWLWWW
1 Novvs Granada CF0–2L
29 Oct@ Atlético Baleares1–0W
25 Oct@ Albacete0–2L
18 Oct@ Valladolid3–2W
10 Octvs Cordoba2–1W
2 Octvs Oviedo4–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Las Palmas and Eldense.

More Segunda División predictions

FT Girona0 Almeria1 482131 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✗ FT Sporting Gijon1 Valladolid2 402436 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Las Palmas vs Eldense?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Las Palmas vs Eldense?

On our numbers Las Palmas have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Eldense 34%.

How many goals will there be in Las Palmas vs Eldense?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

When is Las Palmas vs Eldense?

Las Palmas vs Eldense (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Gran Canaria.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.