Segunda División · Spain

Sporting Gijon

WWLWW
1–2
FT

Valladolid

WWLLW

Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSporting Gijon to win ✗40% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.00

Win chances

Sporting Gijon40%fair 2.53 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Valladolid36%fair 2.77 · @2.88
2.59Expected goals
1.33Sporting Gijon xG
1.26Valladolid xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%

From our goals model: Sporting Gijon 1.3 – 1.3 Valladolid expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates Sporting Gijon and Valladolid on our numbers – 40% for the home side, 36% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Sporting Gijon have taken 15 points from their last 6 matches (5W 0D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.3 per game. Valladolid have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 2.5 scored and 1.7 conceded. Sporting Gijon come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.6 goals (1.3 for Sporting Gijon, 1.3 for Valladolid). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (10%), 0–1 (9%).

In their last 2 meetings, Sporting Gijon have won 0, Valladolid have won 1 and 1 ended level, with an average of 5.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.34.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSporting Gijon to win ✗40%2.532.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.881.83
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.861.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.341.25
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sporting Gijon / FT Sporting Gijon ✗22%4.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10%10.00–

Form

Sporting Gijon – last 6

WWLWWW
1 Nov@ AD Ceuta FC2–0W
29 Oct@ Guijuelo3–1W
25 Oct@ Castellón0–4L
17 Octvs Albacete2–1W
11 Oct@ Cadiz1–0W
4 Octvs Celta de Vigo II3–2W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Valladolid – last 6

WWLLWD
2 Novvs Leganes4–3W
29 Oct@ Covadonga1–0W
23 Oct@ Granada CF1–2L
18 Octvs Eldense2–3L
12 Octvs Albacete5–0W
4 Oct@ Las Palmas2–2D
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Aug 2026Sporting Gijon v Valladolid2–4
22 Feb 2026Sporting Gijon v Valladolid2–2

More Segunda División predictions

FT Girona0 Almeria1 482131 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✗ FT Las Palmas2 Eldense0 452134 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid?

On our numbers Sporting Gijon have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Valladolid 36%.

How many goals will there be in Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

When is Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid?

Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.