Segunda División · Spain · Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
Girona
Almeria
Girona vs Almeria prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Almeria to win @ 3.70 – our chance 31% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Girona 1.6 – 1.2 Almeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Girona hold the edge on home soil with a 48% chance of winning, against 31% for Almeria.
Girona have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 0.5 per game. Almeria have 12 points from their last 6 (3W 3D 0L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.6 for Girona, 1.2 for Almeria). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.31. For a bigger price, Almeria to win at 3.70 is our value angle (31% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Girona to win ✗ | 48% | 2.07 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.22 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.91 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.40 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 41% | 2.42 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Girona / FT Girona ✗ | 28% | 3.61 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 10.09 | – |
Form
Girona – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Real Sociedad II | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Oct | @ Cuarte | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | vs Celta de Vigo II | 5–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs FC Andorra | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Oct | @ Tenerife | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Mallorca | 0–0 | D |
Almeria – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Eibar | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Oct | @ Castellonense | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Oct | vs Oviedo | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Oct | @ Real Sociedad II | 4–2 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Leganes | 3–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Burgos | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Girona and Almeria.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Girona vs Almeria?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Girona vs Almeria?
On our numbers Girona have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Almeria 31%.
How many goals will there be in Girona vs Almeria?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Girona vs Almeria?
Girona vs Almeria (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.