Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Cordoba to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCordoba to win ✓64% · @1.85
Double chanceCordoba or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.41
Cordoba vs Tenerife preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees Cordoba take on Tenerife on Monday 5 October, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Estadio Nuevo Arcángel. Cordoba are 11th with 19 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Tenerife sit 14th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Cordoba's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Valladolid 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Tenerife's last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Cadiz 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for Cordoba and 0.9 for Tenerife. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cordoba 64%, draw 21%, Tenerife 15%.
Safer route: Cordoba or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Cordoba to win at 1.85 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cordoba or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cordoba 2–0 Tenerife. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cordoba64%fair 1.55 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.30
Tenerife15%fair 6.84 · @3.80
3.07Expected goals
2.14Cordoba xG
0.93Tenerife xG
58%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Cordoba 2.1 – 0.9 Tenerife expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cordoba to win✓
64%
1.55
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Cordoba or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Cordoba ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cordoba / FT Cordoba✓
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.41
–
Form
Cordoba – last 6
LWLLLW
27 Sep
@ Valladolid
1–3
L
18 Sep
@ Albacete
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Almeria
0–2
L
7 Sep
@ Sabadell
2–3
L
30 Aug
vs Granada CF
1–3
L
21 Aug
vs Girona
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Tenerife – last 6
DLWDLW
26 Sep
vs Cadiz
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Castellón
0–5
L
13 Sep
vs Leganes
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Real Sociedad II
1–1
D
28 Aug
vs Sporting Gijon
0–1
L
23 Aug
vs Almeria
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cordoba and Tenerife.
Our pick is Cordoba or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cordoba vs Tenerife?
On our numbers Cordoba have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tenerife 15%.
How many goals will there be in Cordoba vs Tenerife?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cordoba vs Tenerife?
Our predicted score is Cordoba 2–0 Tenerife, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Cordoba vs Tenerife?
Cordoba vs Tenerife (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Arcángel.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
