Segunda División · Spain · Nuevo MirandillaCadiz vs Leganes prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.95 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Cadiz 1.1 – 1.1 Leganes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Cadiz and Leganes on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 25% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Cadiz have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (0W 3D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.7 per game. Leganes have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. Leganes come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.1 for Cadiz, 1.1 for Leganes). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (13%), 0–1 (13%).
In their last 1 meeting, Cadiz have won 1, Leganes have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 51% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.91 is close to our fair price of 1.95.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Cadiz to win ✓ | 37% | 2.67 | 2.80 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.95 | 1.91 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 64% | 1.57 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.08 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✗ | 20% | 4.94 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.94 | – |
Form
Cadiz – last 6
| 26 Sep | @ Tenerife | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Girona | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Las Palmas | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sep | @ Almeria | 2–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Valladolid | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Eldense | 2–2 | D |
Leganes – last 6
| 28 Sep | vs Castellón | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Granada CF | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Tenerife | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Sep | @ Las Palmas | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Eldense | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Oviedo | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 24 May 2026 | Cadiz v Leganes | 3–0 |
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 13 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 12 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 |  Burgos | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 |  Eibar | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 |  Granada CF | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sporting Gijon | 13 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 |  Girona | 13 | +10 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 13 | +3 | 21 |
| 10 |  Las Palmas | 13 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Cordoba | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 13 | -6 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 |  Real Sociedad II | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 18 |  Leganes | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | -20 | 5 |
More Segunda División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Cadiz vs Leganes?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Cadiz vs Leganes?
On our numbers Cadiz have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Leganes 37%.
How many goals will there be in Cadiz vs Leganes?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Cadiz vs Leganes?
Cadiz vs Leganes (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Nuevo Mirandilla.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.