Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Sporting Gijon to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTenerife to win ✗45% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.48
Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon preview and prediction
The match
Sporting Gijon travel to Heliodoro Rodríguez López in the Segunda División on Friday 28 August (20:00 WAT) to face Tenerife. Tenerife are 14th with 15 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Sporting Gijon sit 7th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Tenerife's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Almeria 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sporting Gijon's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Burgos 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Tenerife arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.1 for Tenerife and 0.9 for Sporting Gijon. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Value angle: Sporting Gijon to win at 3.30 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Tenerife 1–0 Sporting Gijon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tenerife45%fair 2.25 · @2.22
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.15
Sporting Gijon33%fair 3.02 · @3.30
1.95Expected goals
1.08Tenerife xG
0.87Sporting Gijon xG
47%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Tenerife 1.1 – 0.9 Sporting Gijon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tenerife to win✗
45%
2.25
2.22
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tenerife / FT Tenerife✗
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.48
–
Form
Tenerife – last 6
WWDWDW
23 Aug
vs Almeria
1–0
W
16 Aug
@ Eibar
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ Leganes
0–0
D
4 Aug
vs Tamaraceite
3–2
W
1 Aug
vs Cadiz
2–2
D
26 Jul
@ Marino
6–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sporting Gijon – last 6
WDLLLL
23 Aug
vs Burgos
1–0
W
17 Aug
vs Sabadell
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Valladolid
2–4
L
7 Aug
@ Racing Santander
1–4
L
1 Aug
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
0–5
L
25 Jul
@ Celta Vigo
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tenerife and Sporting Gijon.
What is the prediction for Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon?
On our numbers Tenerife have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sporting Gijon 33%.
How many goals will there be in Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon?
Our predicted score is Tenerife 1–0 Sporting Gijon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon?
Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon (Segunda División) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Heliodoro Rodríguez López.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
