Value bet: Granada CF to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGranada CF to win ✓38% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.36
Granada CF vs Mallorca preview and prediction
The match
Granada CF host Mallorca in the Segunda División on Monday 24 August, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT) at Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes. Granada CF are 5th with 23 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Mallorca sit 6th on 22 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Granada CF's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Oviedo 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mallorca's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Valladolid 2–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.0 goals: 0.5 for Granada CF and 0.5 for Mallorca. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 92% likely.
Value angle: Granada CF to win at 2.90 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Granada CF 0–0 Mallorca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Granada CF38%fair 2.66 · @2.90
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.88
Mallorca37%fair 2.73 · @2.45
1.00Expected goals
0.51Granada CF xG
0.49Mallorca xG
46%Both score
8%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–037%
1–019%
0–118%
1–19%
2–05%
0–24%
From our goals model: Granada CF 0.5 – 0.5 Mallorca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Granada CF to win✓
38%
2.66
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
68%
1.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.36
–
Form
Granada CF – last 6
DWLWWL
15 Aug
@ Oviedo
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Antequera
3–0
W
5 Aug
@ Cadiz
0–2
L
29 Jul
vs Almeria
2–0
W
25 Jul
vs Real Betis
1–0
W
30 May
vs Sporting Gijon
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mallorca – last 6
WDWWWL
15 Aug
vs Valladolid
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs SV Elversberg
1–1
D
5 Aug
vs Paris Saint Germain
3–0
W
30 Jul
vs Al-Ittihad FC
4–2
W
25 Jul
vs Al-Fateh
3–0
W
17 May
@ Levante
0–2
L
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Granada CF and Mallorca.
What is the prediction for Granada CF vs Mallorca?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Granada CF vs Mallorca?
On our numbers Granada CF have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mallorca 37%.
How many goals will there be in Granada CF vs Mallorca?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Granada CF vs Mallorca?
Our predicted score is Granada CF 0–0 Mallorca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.
When is Granada CF vs Mallorca?
Granada CF vs Mallorca (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
