III Liga Group 1 · PolandWeszlo vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
Value bet: Weszlo to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Weszlo 2.1 – 1.3 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Weszlo hold the edge on home soil with a 57% chance of winning, against 24% for Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki.
Weszlo have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.8 per game. Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 3.3 goals (2.1 for Weszlo, 1.3 for Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 2–0 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.60. For a bigger price, Weszlo to win at 1.91 is our value angle (57% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Weszlo to win ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.60 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.75 | – |
| Half-time result | Weszlo ahead at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.37 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Weszlo / FT Weszlo ✓ | 35% | 2.82 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.37 | – |
Form
Weszlo – last 6
| 11 Oct | @ Widzew II | 2–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Olimpia Zambrów | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Olimpia Elbląg | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Swit | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Ząbkovia Ząbki | 2–0 | W |
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Pelikan Łowicz | 1–4 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Warta Sieradz | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs Wigry Suwałki | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Wisła Płock II | 3–2 | W |
| 11 Sep | @ Widzew II | 3–2 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Olimpia Zambrów | 5–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Weszlo and Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki.
III Liga Group 1 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Weszlo | 16 | +14 | 35 |
| 2 |  Wigry Suwałki | 16 | +16 | 34 |
| 3 |  Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 16 | +10 | 30 |
| 4 |  Swit | 16 | +9 | 29 |
| 5 |  Warta Sieradz | 16 | +6 | 28 |
| 6 |  Ząbkovia Ząbki | 16 | +4 | 25 |
| 7 |  Wisła Płock II | 16 | +2 | 25 |
| 8 |  Pelikan Łowicz | 16 | +2 | 24 |
| 9 |  Olimpia Zambrów | 16 | +1 | 24 |
| 10 |  ŁKS Łódź II | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 11 |  Olimpia Elbląg | 16 | -3 | 21 |
| 12 |  Jagiellonia II | 16 | -1 | 20 |
| 13 |  Widzew II | 16 | +2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 16 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 |  Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 16 | -8 | 17 |
| 16 |  Mławianka Mława | 16 | -15 | 14 |
| 17 |  Troszyn | 16 | -15 | 14 |
| 18 |  Łomża | 16 | -20 | 4 |
More III Liga Group 1 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Weszlo vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Weszlo vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki?
On our numbers Weszlo have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 24%.
How many goals will there be in Weszlo vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Weszlo vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki?
Weszlo vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.