III Liga Group 1 · PolandJagiellonia II vs Swit prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Jagiellonia II 1.8 – 1.6 Swit expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Jagiellonia II hold the edge on home soil with a 43% chance of winning, against 36% for Swit.
Jagiellonia II have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 2.2 per game. Swit have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 2.2 scored and 2.5 conceded.
We expect around 3.4 goals (1.8 for Jagiellonia II, 1.6 for Swit). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (9%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.55.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Jagiellonia II to win ✗ | 43% | 2.30 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.82 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 36% | 2.74 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Jagiellonia II / FT Jagiellonia II ✗ | 26% | 3.86 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.67 | – |
Form
Jagiellonia II – last 6
| 14 Oct | vs Troszyn | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Ząbkovia Ząbki | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Sep | @ Wisła Płock II | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs ŁKS Łódź II | 2–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Mławianka Mława | 7–4 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Łomża | 2–1 | W |
Swit – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs ŁKS Łódź II | 2–7 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Mławianka Mława | 4–2 | W |
| 25 Sep | vs Łomża | 4–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | @ Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Weszlo | 0–1 | L |
| 4 Sep | @ Pelikan Łowicz | 1–4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jagiellonia II and Swit.
III Liga Group 1 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Weszlo | 16 | +14 | 35 |
| 2 |  Wigry Suwałki | 16 | +16 | 34 |
| 3 |  Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 16 | +10 | 30 |
| 4 |  Swit | 16 | +9 | 29 |
| 5 |  Warta Sieradz | 16 | +6 | 28 |
| 6 |  Ząbkovia Ząbki | 16 | +4 | 25 |
| 7 |  Wisła Płock II | 16 | +2 | 25 |
| 8 |  Pelikan Łowicz | 16 | +2 | 24 |
| 9 |  Olimpia Zambrów | 16 | +1 | 24 |
| 10 |  ŁKS Łódź II | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 11 |  Olimpia Elbląg | 16 | -3 | 21 |
| 12 |  Jagiellonia II | 16 | -1 | 20 |
| 13 |  Widzew II | 16 | +2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 16 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 |  Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 16 | -8 | 17 |
| 16 |  Mławianka Mława | 16 | -15 | 14 |
| 17 |  Troszyn | 16 | -15 | 14 |
| 18 |  Łomża | 16 | -20 | 4 |
More III Liga Group 1 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia II vs Swit?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Jagiellonia II vs Swit?
On our numbers Jagiellonia II have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Swit 36%.
How many goals will there be in Jagiellonia II vs Swit?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Jagiellonia II vs Swit?
Jagiellonia II vs Swit (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.