III Liga Group 1 · PolandWarta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg prediction & analysis
Warta Sieradz or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Warta Sieradz 2.1 – 1.2 Olimpia Elbląg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Warta Sieradz are clear favourites at home with a 60% chance of winning, against 20% for Olimpia Elbląg.
Warta Sieradz have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.8 per game. Olimpia Elbląg have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
We expect around 3.3 goals (2.1 for Warta Sieradz, 1.2 for Olimpia Elbląg). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 2–0 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Warta Sieradz have won 1, Olimpia Elbląg have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 5.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Warta Sieradz or draw at a 80% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.25.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Warta Sieradz to win ✓ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.73 |
| Double chance | Warta Sieradz or draw ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 58% | 1.72 | – |
| Half-time result | Warta Sieradz ahead at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Warta Sieradz / FT Warta Sieradz ✓ | 39% | 2.60 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.21 | – |
Form
Warta Sieradz – last 6
| 29 Aug | @ Swit | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Ząbkovia Ząbki | 0–4 | L |
| 19 Aug | @ Troszyn | 4–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Jagiellonia II | 2–2 | D |
| 9 Aug | @ ŁKS Łódź II | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Aug | vs Mławianka Mława | 1–2 | L |
Olimpia Elbląg – last 6
| 29 Aug | vs Wigry Suwałki | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Aug | vs Widzew II | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | @ Olimpia Zambrów | 2–1 | W |
| 7 Aug | vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 4–2 | W |
| 31 Jul | vs Wisła Płock II | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 25 Mar 2026 | Warta Sieradz v Olimpia Elbląg | 4–1 |
III Liga Group 1 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Weszlo | 16 | +14 | 35 |
| 2 |  Wigry Suwałki | 16 | +16 | 34 |
| 3 |  Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 16 | +10 | 30 |
| 4 |  Swit | 16 | +9 | 29 |
| 5 |  Warta Sieradz | 16 | +6 | 28 |
| 6 |  Ząbkovia Ząbki | 16 | +4 | 25 |
| 7 |  Wisła Płock II | 16 | +2 | 25 |
| 8 |  Pelikan Łowicz | 16 | +2 | 24 |
| 9 |  Olimpia Zambrów | 16 | +1 | 24 |
| 10 |  ŁKS Łódź II | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 11 |  Olimpia Elbląg | 16 | -3 | 21 |
| 12 |  Jagiellonia II | 16 | -1 | 20 |
| 13 |  Widzew II | 16 | +2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 16 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 |  Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 16 | -8 | 17 |
| 16 |  Mławianka Mława | 16 | -15 | 14 |
| 17 |  Troszyn | 16 | -15 | 14 |
| 18 |  Łomża | 16 | -20 | 4 |
More III Liga Group 1 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg?
Our pick is Warta Sieradz or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg?
On our numbers Warta Sieradz have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Olimpia Elbląg 20%.
How many goals will there be in Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg?
Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.