Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPelikan Łowicz to win ✗63% · @1.65
Double chancePelikan Łowicz or draw ✓87% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.66
Pelikan Łowicz vs Troszyn preview and prediction
The match
The III Liga Group 1 sees Pelikan Łowicz take on Troszyn on Sunday 23 August, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT). Pelikan Łowicz are 8th with 24 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Troszyn sit 17th on 14 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Pelikan Łowicz's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Jagiellonia II 0–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Troszyn's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Warta Sieradz 1–4 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Pelikan Łowicz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.5 for Pelikan Łowicz and 1.2 for Troszyn. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Pelikan Łowicz or draw (87%) at 1.14.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Pelikan Łowicz to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Pelikan Łowicz 2–1 Troszyn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pelikan Łowicz63%fair 1.58 · @1.65
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.75
Troszyn13%fair 7.45 · @4.00
3.63Expected goals
2.47Pelikan Łowicz xG
1.16Troszyn xG
56%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
1–18%
3–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Pelikan Łowicz 2.5 – 1.2 Troszyn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pelikan Łowicz to win✗
63%
1.58
1.65
Double chance
Pelikan Łowicz or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.83
1.55
Half-time result
Pelikan Łowicz ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pelikan Łowicz / FT Pelikan Łowicz✗
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.66
–
Form
Pelikan Łowicz – last 6
LWWWLL
19 Aug
@ Jagiellonia II
0–3
L
15 Aug
vs ŁKS Łódź II
2–1
W
7 Aug
@ Mławianka Mława
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Łomża
3–2
W
25 Jul
vs Kutno
1–3
L
22 Jul
@ Wisla Plock
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Troszyn – last 6
LLLLLL
19 Aug
vs Warta Sieradz
1–4
L
14 Aug
@ Wigry Suwałki
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
1–4
L
2 Aug
@ Widzew II
1–5
L
30 May
@ Wikielec
1–2
L
23 May
vs Łomża
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pelikan Łowicz and Troszyn.
What is the prediction for Pelikan Łowicz vs Troszyn?
Our pick is Pelikan Łowicz to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Pelikan Łowicz vs Troszyn?
On our numbers Pelikan Łowicz have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Troszyn 13%.
How many goals will there be in Pelikan Łowicz vs Troszyn?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pelikan Łowicz vs Troszyn?
Our predicted score is Pelikan Łowicz 2–1 Troszyn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Pelikan Łowicz vs Troszyn?
Pelikan Łowicz vs Troszyn (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
