III Liga Group 2 · PolandLipno Stęszew vs Gedania Gdansk prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Lipno Stęszew 1.8 – 1.7 Gedania Gdansk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Lipno Stęszew and Gedania Gdansk on our numbers – 41% for the home side, 38% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Lipno Stęszew have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.7 per game. Gedania Gdansk have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 3.5 goals (1.8 for Lipno Stęszew, 1.7 for Gedania Gdansk). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (9%), 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.53 is close to our fair price of 1.56.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Lipno Stęszew to win ✗ | 41% | 2.47 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.71 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.83 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 36% | 2.74 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Lipno Stęszew / FT Lipno Stęszew ✗ | 24% | 4.17 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 8% | 12.11 | – |
Form
Lipno Stęszew – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs Kalisz | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Stargard Szczeciński | 4–3 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Chemik Bydgoszcz | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Victoria Września | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Bałtyk Koszalin | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Kotwica Kórnik | 1–4 | L |
Gedania Gdansk – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs Stargard Szczeciński | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Chemik Bydgoszcz | 3–2 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Victoria Września | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Bałtyk Koszalin | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Kotwica Kórnik | 6–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Flota Świnoujście | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lipno Stęszew and Gedania Gdansk.
III Liga Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Polonia Środa | 16 | +22 | 37 |
| 2 |  Kluczevia Stargard | 16 | +4 | 30 |
| 3 |  Luzino | 16 | +15 | 29 |
| 4 |  Wda Świecie | 16 | +4 | 29 |
| 5 |  Lech Poznań II | 16 | +11 | 27 |
| 6 |  Stargard Szczeciński | 16 | +9 | 24 |
| 7 |  Unia Swarzędz | 16 | +4 | 22 |
| 8 |  Bałtyk Koszalin | 16 | +2 | 21 |
| 9 |  Noteć Czarnków | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 |  Kalisz | 16 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Elana Toruń | 16 | -3 | 20 |
| 12 |  Gedania Gdansk | 16 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 |  Grom Nowy Staw | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 |  Chemik Bydgoszcz | 16 | -5 | 18 |
| 15 |  Flota Świnoujście | 16 | -13 | 18 |
| 16 |  Lipno Stęszew | 16 | -11 | 14 |
| 17 |  Victoria Września | 16 | -12 | 14 |
| 18 |  Kotwica Kórnik | 16 | -22 | 11 |
More III Liga Group 2 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Lipno Stęszew vs Gedania Gdansk?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Lipno Stęszew vs Gedania Gdansk?
On our numbers Lipno Stęszew have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gedania Gdansk 38%.
How many goals will there be in Lipno Stęszew vs Gedania Gdansk?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Lipno Stęszew vs Gedania Gdansk?
Lipno Stęszew vs Gedania Gdansk (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.