III Liga Group 2 · Poland · Stadion MiejskiKalisz vs Polonia Środa prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Kalisz 1.2 – 2.2 Polonia Środa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Polonia Środa shade it despite being away from home – 59% to win, against 22% for Kalisz.
Kalisz have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.0 per game. Polonia Środa have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 2.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. Polonia Środa come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.4 goals (1.2 for Kalisz, 2.2 for Polonia Środa). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 0–2 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.55.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Polonia Środa to win ✗ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.67 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 86% | 1.17 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 64% | 1.55 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.81 | – |
| Half-time result | Polonia Środa ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.26 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Polonia Środa / FT Polonia Środa ✗ | 38% | 2.66 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 10% | 10.38 | – |
Form
Kalisz – last 6
| 17 Oct | @ Lipno Stęszew | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Lech Poznań II | 2–4 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Stargard Szczeciński | 0–5 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Kluczevia Stargard | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Chemik Bydgoszcz | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Wda Świecie | 1–1 | D |
Polonia Środa – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ Lech Poznań II | 3–2 | W |
| 9 Oct | vs Kluczevia Stargard | 2–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Wda Świecie | 4–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Elana Toruń | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Noteć Czarnków | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Sep | vs Unia Swarzędz | 4–3 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kalisz and Polonia Środa.
III Liga Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Polonia Środa | 16 | +22 | 37 |
| 2 |  Kluczevia Stargard | 16 | +4 | 30 |
| 3 |  Luzino | 16 | +15 | 29 |
| 4 |  Wda Świecie | 16 | +4 | 29 |
| 5 |  Lech Poznań II | 16 | +11 | 27 |
| 6 |  Stargard Szczeciński | 16 | +9 | 24 |
| 7 |  Unia Swarzędz | 16 | +4 | 22 |
| 8 |  Bałtyk Koszalin | 16 | +2 | 21 |
| 9 |  Noteć Czarnków | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 |  Kalisz | 16 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Elana Toruń | 16 | -3 | 20 |
| 12 |  Gedania Gdansk | 16 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 |  Grom Nowy Staw | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 |  Chemik Bydgoszcz | 16 | -5 | 18 |
| 15 |  Flota Świnoujście | 16 | -13 | 18 |
| 16 |  Lipno Stęszew | 16 | -11 | 14 |
| 17 |  Victoria Września | 16 | -12 | 14 |
| 18 |  Kotwica Kórnik | 16 | -22 | 11 |
More III Liga Group 2 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Kalisz vs Polonia Środa?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Kalisz vs Polonia Środa?
On our numbers Kalisz have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Polonia Środa 59%.
How many goals will there be in Kalisz vs Polonia Środa?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Kalisz vs Polonia Środa?
Kalisz vs Polonia Środa (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.