III Liga Group 2 · PolandVictoria Września vs Grom Nowy Staw prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Victoria Września 1.8 – 1.8 Grom Nowy Staw expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Victoria Września and Grom Nowy Staw on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 22% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Victoria Września have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (0W 5D 1L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.5 per game. Grom Nowy Staw have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 3.0 scored and 2.5 conceded. Grom Nowy Staw come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.6 goals (1.8 for Victoria Września, 1.8 for Grom Nowy Staw). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%), 2–1 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.54.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Grom Nowy Staw to win ✗ | 40% | 2.48 | 2.40 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 87% | 1.14 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.94 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 36% | 2.81 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Grom Nowy Staw / FT Grom Nowy Staw ✗ | 25% | 4.07 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 8% | 12.29 | – |
Form
Victoria Września – last 6
| 3 Oct | @ Gedania Gdansk | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs Lipno Stęszew | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Stargard Szczeciński | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Chemik Bydgoszcz | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Kalisz | 3–3 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Bałtyk Koszalin | 0–2 | L |
Grom Nowy Staw – last 6
| 3 Oct | vs Bałtyk Koszalin | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Kotwica Kórnik | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Flota Świnoujście | 5–0 | W |
| 11 Sep | @ Luzino | 1–5 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Polonia Środa | 4–4 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Lech Poznań II | 4–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Victoria Września and Grom Nowy Staw.
III Liga Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Polonia Środa | 16 | +22 | 37 |
| 2 |  Kluczevia Stargard | 16 | +4 | 30 |
| 3 |  Luzino | 16 | +15 | 29 |
| 4 |  Wda Świecie | 16 | +4 | 29 |
| 5 |  Lech Poznań II | 16 | +11 | 27 |
| 6 |  Stargard Szczeciński | 16 | +9 | 24 |
| 7 |  Unia Swarzędz | 16 | +4 | 22 |
| 8 |  Bałtyk Koszalin | 16 | +2 | 21 |
| 9 |  Noteć Czarnków | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 |  Kalisz | 16 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Elana Toruń | 16 | -3 | 20 |
| 12 |  Gedania Gdansk | 16 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 |  Grom Nowy Staw | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 |  Chemik Bydgoszcz | 16 | -5 | 18 |
| 15 |  Flota Świnoujście | 16 | -13 | 18 |
| 16 |  Lipno Stęszew | 16 | -11 | 14 |
| 17 |  Victoria Września | 16 | -12 | 14 |
| 18 |  Kotwica Kórnik | 16 | -22 | 11 |
More III Liga Group 2 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Victoria Września vs Grom Nowy Staw?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Victoria Września vs Grom Nowy Staw?
On our numbers Victoria Września have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Grom Nowy Staw 40%.
How many goals will there be in Victoria Września vs Grom Nowy Staw?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Victoria Września vs Grom Nowy Staw?
Victoria Września vs Grom Nowy Staw (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.