III Liga Group 2 · PolandBałtyk Koszalin vs Unia Swarzędz prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Bałtyk Koszalin 1.5 – 1.6 Unia Swarzędz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Bałtyk Koszalin and Unia Swarzędz on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 41% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Bałtyk Koszalin have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.3 per game. Unia Swarzędz have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 2.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 3.1 goals (1.5 for Bałtyk Koszalin, 1.6 for Unia Swarzędz). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.66.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Unia Swarzędz to win ✗ | 41% | 2.46 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.80 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 39% | 2.58 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Unia Swarzędz / FT Unia Swarzędz ✗ | 23% | 4.29 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.73 | – |
Form
Bałtyk Koszalin – last 6
| 3 Oct | @ Grom Nowy Staw | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Gedania Gdansk | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Lipno Stęszew | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Stargard Szczeciński | 0–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Chemik Bydgoszcz | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Victoria Września | 2–0 | W |
Unia Swarzędz – last 6
| 3 Oct | vs Kotwica Kórnik | 7–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Flota Świnoujście | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Luzino | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Sep | @ Polonia Środa | 3–4 | L |
| 4 Sep | vs Lech Poznań II | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Aug | @ Kluczevia Stargard | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bałtyk Koszalin and Unia Swarzędz.
III Liga Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Polonia Środa | 16 | +22 | 37 |
| 2 |  Kluczevia Stargard | 16 | +4 | 30 |
| 3 |  Luzino | 16 | +15 | 29 |
| 4 |  Wda Świecie | 16 | +4 | 29 |
| 5 |  Lech Poznań II | 16 | +11 | 27 |
| 6 |  Stargard Szczeciński | 16 | +9 | 24 |
| 7 |  Unia Swarzędz | 16 | +4 | 22 |
| 8 |  Bałtyk Koszalin | 16 | +2 | 21 |
| 9 |  Noteć Czarnków | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 |  Kalisz | 16 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Elana Toruń | 16 | -3 | 20 |
| 12 |  Gedania Gdansk | 16 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 |  Grom Nowy Staw | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 |  Chemik Bydgoszcz | 16 | -5 | 18 |
| 15 |  Flota Świnoujście | 16 | -13 | 18 |
| 16 |  Lipno Stęszew | 16 | -11 | 14 |
| 17 |  Victoria Września | 16 | -12 | 14 |
| 18 |  Kotwica Kórnik | 16 | -22 | 11 |
More III Liga Group 2 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bałtyk Koszalin vs Unia Swarzędz?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Bałtyk Koszalin vs Unia Swarzędz?
On our numbers Bałtyk Koszalin have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Unia Swarzędz 41%.
How many goals will there be in Bałtyk Koszalin vs Unia Swarzędz?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Bałtyk Koszalin vs Unia Swarzędz?
Bałtyk Koszalin vs Unia Swarzędz (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.