Unia Swarzędz vs Lech Poznań II prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Lech Poznań II to win @ 2.75 – our chance 42% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLech Poznań II to win ✗42% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.74
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.85
Unia Swarzędz vs Lech Poznań II preview and prediction
The match
Lech Poznań II travel to face Unia Swarzędz in the III Liga Group 2 on Friday 4 September (16:30 WAT). Unia Swarzędz are 7th with 22 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Lech Poznań II sit 5th on 27 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Unia Swarzędz's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Kluczevia Stargard 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Lech Poznań II's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Grom Nowy Staw 2–4 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Lech Poznań II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.7 for Unia Swarzędz and 1.8 for Lech Poznań II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Unia Swarzędz 37%, draw 21%, Lech Poznań II 42%.
Value angle: Lech Poznań II to win at 2.75 – 42% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Unia Swarzędz 1–2 Lech Poznań II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Unia Swarzędz37%fair 2.68 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.75
Lech Poznań II42%fair 2.40 · @2.75
3.41Expected goals
1.65Unia Swarzędz xG
1.76Lech Poznań II xG
57%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–05%
From our goals model: Unia Swarzędz 1.7 – 1.8 Lech Poznań II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lech Poznań II to win✗
42%
2.40
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lech Poznań II / FT Lech Poznań II✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.85
–
Form
Unia Swarzędz – last 6
LLWLLW
28 Aug
@ Kluczevia Stargard
0–2
L
23 Aug
vs Wda Świecie
0–1
L
19 Aug
@ Elana Toruń
3–2
W
14 Aug
vs Noteć Czarnków
0–3
L
9 Aug
@ Kalisz
0–1
L
1 Aug
@ Grom Nowy Staw
3–2
W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lech Poznań II – last 6
LWWLDW
29 Aug
vs Grom Nowy Staw
2–4
L
23 Aug
@ Gedania Gdansk
3–2
W
19 Aug
vs Lipno Stęszew
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Stargard Szczeciński
2–4
L
8 Aug
vs Chemik Bydgoszcz
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Victoria Września
5–2
W
2.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Unia Swarzędz and Lech Poznań II.
What is the prediction for Unia Swarzędz vs Lech Poznań II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Unia Swarzędz vs Lech Poznań II?
On our numbers Unia Swarzędz have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lech Poznań II 42%.
How many goals will there be in Unia Swarzędz vs Lech Poznań II?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Unia Swarzędz vs Lech Poznań II?
Our predicted score is Unia Swarzędz 1–2 Lech Poznań II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Unia Swarzędz vs Lech Poznań II?
Unia Swarzędz vs Lech Poznań II (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
