III Liga Group 2 · PolandWda Świecie vs Noteć Czarnków prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Wda Świecie 1.6 – 1.6 Noteć Czarnków expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Wda Świecie and Noteć Czarnków on our numbers – 40% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Wda Świecie have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.3 per game. Noteć Czarnków have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 3.2 goals (1.6 for Wda Świecie, 1.6 for Noteć Czarnków). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Wda Świecie have won 0, Noteć Czarnków have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.65.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Wda Świecie to win ✓ | 40% | 2.51 | 2.30 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.80 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.65 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 39% | 2.60 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Wda Świecie / FT Wda Świecie ✗ | 23% | 4.37 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✓ | 8% | 11.87 | – |
Form
Wda Świecie – last 6
| 23 Aug | @ Unia Swarzędz | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Aug | vs Grom Nowy Staw | 4–2 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Gedania Gdansk | 1–1 | D |
| 8 Aug | vs Lipno Stęszew | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Aug | @ Stargard Szczeciński | 1–1 | D |
| 30 May | vs Noteć Czarnków | 1–3 | L |
Noteć Czarnków – last 6
| 22 Aug | vs Elana Toruń | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Aug | @ Kalisz | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Aug | @ Unia Swarzędz | 3–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs Grom Nowy Staw | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Jul | @ Gedania Gdansk | 3–5 | L |
| 30 May | @ Wda Świecie | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
| 30 May 2026 | Wda Świecie v Noteć Czarnków | 1–3 |
III Liga Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Polonia Środa | 16 | +22 | 37 |
| 2 |  Kluczevia Stargard | 16 | +4 | 30 |
| 3 |  Luzino | 16 | +15 | 29 |
| 4 |  Wda Świecie | 16 | +4 | 29 |
| 5 |  Lech Poznań II | 16 | +11 | 27 |
| 6 |  Stargard Szczeciński | 16 | +9 | 24 |
| 7 |  Unia Swarzędz | 16 | +4 | 22 |
| 8 |  Bałtyk Koszalin | 16 | +2 | 21 |
| 9 |  Noteć Czarnków | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 |  Kalisz | 16 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Elana Toruń | 16 | -3 | 20 |
| 12 |  Gedania Gdansk | 16 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 |  Grom Nowy Staw | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 |  Chemik Bydgoszcz | 16 | -5 | 18 |
| 15 |  Flota Świnoujście | 16 | -13 | 18 |
| 16 |  Lipno Stęszew | 16 | -11 | 14 |
| 17 |  Victoria Września | 16 | -12 | 14 |
| 18 |  Kotwica Kórnik | 16 | -22 | 11 |
More III Liga Group 2 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Wda Świecie vs Noteć Czarnków?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Wda Świecie vs Noteć Czarnków?
On our numbers Wda Świecie have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Noteć Czarnków 39%.
How many goals will there be in Wda Świecie vs Noteć Czarnków?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Wda Świecie vs Noteć Czarnków?
Wda Świecie vs Noteć Czarnków (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.