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Stargard Szczeciński vs Lech Poznań II prediction & analysis

62%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.57Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultLech Poznań II to win ✗41% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.86

Stargard Szczeciński vs Lech Poznań II preview and prediction

The match

The III Liga Group 2 sees Stargard Szczeciński take on Lech Poznań II on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Stargard Szczeciński are 6th with 24 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Lech Poznań II sit 5th on 27 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Stargard Szczeciński's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Kluczevia Stargard 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Lech Poznań II's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Chemik Bydgoszcz 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.

Stargard Szczeciński arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 4 April 2026, finished Lech Poznań II 1–1 Stargard Szczeciński.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.6 for Stargard Szczeciński and 1.7 for Lech Poznań II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Stargard Szczeciński 1–2 Lech Poznań II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Stargard Szczeciński38%fair 2.63 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.60
Lech Poznań II41%fair 2.47 · @2.50
3.30Expected goals
1.62Stargard Szczeciński xG
1.68Lech Poznań II xG
53%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%

From our goals model: Stargard Szczeciński 1.6 – 1.7 Lech Poznań II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLech Poznań II to win ✗41%2.472.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.88–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.611.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗58%1.72–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗37%2.67–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lech Poznań II / FT Lech Poznań II ✗24%4.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.86–

Form

Stargard Szczeciński – last 6

LDWWWD
8 Aug@ Kluczevia Stargard1–2L
1 Augvs Wda Świecie1–1D
17 Jul@ Świt Skolwin1–0W
30 Mayvs Flota Świnoujście3–0W
22 May@ Tłuchowia4–1W
17 Mayvs Noteć Czarnków1–1D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Lech Poznań II – last 6

DWDWLL
8 Augvs Chemik Bydgoszcz1–1D
1 Aug@ Victoria Września5–2W
25 Jul@ Kalisz2–2D
18 Julvs Zagłębie Lubin II3–0W
30 Mayvs Victoria Września1–2L
23 May@ Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce0–3L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Apr 2026Lech Poznań II v Stargard Szczeciński1–1
Stargard Szczeciński vs Lech Poznań II head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Środa161141+2237
2Kluczevia Stargard16934+430
3Luzino16925+1529
4Wda Świecie16853+429
5Lech Poznań II16835+1127
6Stargard Szczeciński16664+924
7Unia Swarzędz16646+422
8Bałtyk Koszalin16565+221
9Noteć Czarnków16637-221
10Kalisz16484-220
11Elana Toruń16556-320
12Gedania Gdansk16475019
13Grom Nowy Staw16619-119
14Chemik Bydgoszcz16466-518
15Flota Świnoujście16538-1318
16Lipno Stęszew164210-1114
17Victoria Września16286-1214
18Kotwica Kórnik163211-2211

More III Liga Group 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stargard Szczeciński vs Lech Poznań II?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Stargard Szczeciński vs Lech Poznań II?

On our numbers Stargard Szczeciński have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lech Poznań II 41%.

How many goals will there be in Stargard Szczeciński vs Lech Poznań II?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Stargard Szczeciński vs Lech Poznań II?

Our predicted score is Stargard Szczeciński 1–2 Lech Poznań II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Stargard Szczeciński vs Lech Poznań II?

Stargard Szczeciński vs Lech Poznań II (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.