Sparta Katowice vs Warta Gorzów prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Sparta Katowice to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSparta Katowice to win ✗64% · @1.50
Double chanceSparta Katowice or draw ✓83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.07
Sparta Katowice vs Warta Gorzów preview and prediction
The match
Warta Gorzów travel to face Sparta Katowice in the III Liga Group 3 on Saturday 3 October (11:00 WAT). Sparta Katowice are 2nd with 36 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Warta Gorzów sit 16th on 14 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sparta Katowice's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Miedź Legnica II 2–0 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Warta Gorzów's last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Ślęza Wrocław 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Sparta Katowice arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Sparta Katowice and 0.8 for Warta Gorzów. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 47%.
Our pre-match pick was Sparta Katowice to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Sparta Katowice 1–0 Warta Gorzów. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sparta Katowice64%fair 1.55 · @1.50
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @4.10
Warta Gorzów17%fair 5.97 · @5.00
2.74Expected goals
1.91Sparta Katowice xG
0.82Warta Gorzów xG
47%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Sparta Katowice 1.9 – 0.8 Warta Gorzów expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sparta Katowice to win✗
64%
1.55
1.50
Double chance
Sparta Katowice or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Sparta Katowice ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sparta Katowice / FT Sparta Katowice✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.07
–
Form
Sparta Katowice – last 6
WWDWWW
26 Sep
@ Miedź Legnica II
2–0
W
19 Sep
vs Kluczbork
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Rakow II
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Polonia Nysa
4–0
W
29 Aug
vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Ślęza Wrocław
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Warta Gorzów – last 6
DLWDLW
26 Sep
vs Ślęza Wrocław
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Goczałkowice Zdrój
1–4
L
12 Sep
vs Stal Brzeg
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Stilon Gorzów
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Zagłębie Lubin II
0–2
L
22 Aug
@ Odra Bytom Odrzański
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sparta Katowice and Warta Gorzów.
What is the prediction for Sparta Katowice vs Warta Gorzów?
Our pick is Sparta Katowice to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Sparta Katowice vs Warta Gorzów?
On our numbers Sparta Katowice have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Warta Gorzów 17%.
How many goals will there be in Sparta Katowice vs Warta Gorzów?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sparta Katowice vs Warta Gorzów?
Our predicted score is Sparta Katowice 1–0 Warta Gorzów, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Sparta Katowice vs Warta Gorzów?
Sparta Katowice vs Warta Gorzów (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
