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Górnik Polkowice vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec prediction & analysis

57%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.70Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultZaglebie Sosnowiec to win ✓41% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.59

Górnik Polkowice vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec preview and prediction

The match

The III Liga Group 3 sees Górnik Polkowice take on Zaglebie Sosnowiec on Friday 18 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Górnik Polkowice are 9th with 22 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Zaglebie Sosnowiec sit 1st on 37 points (top of the table). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Górnik Polkowice's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Barycz Sułów 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Zaglebie Sosnowiec's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Polonia Nysa 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Górnik Polkowice and 1.6 for Zaglebie Sosnowiec. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Górnik Polkowice 1–2 Zaglebie Sosnowiec. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Górnik Polkowice37%fair 2.67 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.60
Zaglebie Sosnowiec41%fair 2.43 · @2.50
3.04Expected goals
1.48Górnik Polkowice xG
1.56Zaglebie Sosnowiec xG
55%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Górnik Polkowice 1.5 – 1.6 Zaglebie Sosnowiec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultZaglebie Sosnowiec to win ✓41%2.432.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.82–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.761.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.57–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.54–
Half-time / full-timeHT Zaglebie Sosnowiec / FT Zaglebie Sosnowiec ✓24%4.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9%11.59–

Form

Górnik Polkowice – last 6

LWLWWD
12 Sep@ Barycz Sułów1–2L
6 Sepvs Carina Gubin2–1W
2 Sepvs Polonia Warszawa0–1L
29 Aug@ ROW Rybnik3–1W
23 Augvs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra2–1W
19 Aug@ Warta Gorzów0–0D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Zaglebie Sosnowiec – last 6

WLLWWL
12 Sep@ Polonia Nysa2–1W
5 Sep@ Barycz Sułów0–1L
29 Aug@ Sparta Katowice0–1L
22 Aug@ Carina Gubin4–0W
19 Augvs Ślęza Wrocław3–1W
16 Aug@ ROW Rybnik1–4L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Górnik Polkowice and Zaglebie Sosnowiec.

Górnik Polkowice vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zaglebie Sosnowiec161213+1637
2Sparta Katowice161132+2136
3Odra Bytom Odrzański16943+631
4Zagłębie Lubin II16763+727
5ROW Rybnik16826+826
6Miedź Legnica II16727+823
7Karkonosze Jelenia Góra16655+523
8Kluczbork16727-323
9Górnik Polkowice16646+122
10Barycz Sułów15636021
11Goczałkowice Zdrój16637-221
12Stal Brzeg16547+519
13Stilon Gorzów16466-318
14Carina Gubin16448-1316
15Ślęza Wrocław164210-1214
16Warta Gorzów16358-1914
17Rakow II16349-1113
18Polonia Nysa15348-1413

More III Liga Group 3 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Górnik Polkowice vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Górnik Polkowice vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?

On our numbers Górnik Polkowice have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Zaglebie Sosnowiec 41%.

How many goals will there be in Górnik Polkowice vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Górnik Polkowice vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?

Our predicted score is Górnik Polkowice 1–2 Zaglebie Sosnowiec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Górnik Polkowice vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?

Górnik Polkowice vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.