Sparta Katowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Sparta Katowice to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSparta Katowice to win ✓64% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.74
Sparta Katowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój preview and prediction
The match
Goczałkowice Zdrój travel to face Sparta Katowice in the III Liga Group 3 on Wednesday 19 August (16:00 WAT). Sparta Katowice are 2nd with 36 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Goczałkowice Zdrój sit 11th on 21 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sparta Katowice's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Stal Brzeg 1–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Goczałkowice Zdrój's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Ślęza Wrocław 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Sparta Katowice arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 March 2026, finished Goczałkowice Zdrój 1–0 Sparta Katowice.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Sparta Katowice and 0.8 for Goczałkowice Zdrój. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 45%.
Our pre-match pick was Sparta Katowice to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sparta Katowice 1–0 Goczałkowice Zdrój. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sparta Katowice64%fair 1.57 · @1.91
Draw15%fair 6.54 · @3.50
Goczałkowice Zdrój21%fair 4.76 · @3.25
2.42Expected goals
1.67Sparta Katowice xG
0.75Goczałkowice Zdrój xG
45%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sparta Katowice 1.7 – 0.8 Goczałkowice Zdrój expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sparta Katowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
Our pick is Sparta Katowice to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Sparta Katowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
On our numbers Sparta Katowice have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Goczałkowice Zdrój 21%.
How many goals will there be in Sparta Katowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sparta Katowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
Our predicted score is Sparta Katowice 1–0 Goczałkowice Zdrój, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sparta Katowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
Sparta Katowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
