Busko-Zdroj vs Chełmianka Chełm prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Chełmianka Chełm to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.30Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultChełmianka Chełm to win ✓65% · @1.30
Double chanceChełmianka Chełm or draw ✓83% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 9.43
Busko-Zdroj vs Chełmianka Chełm preview and prediction
The match
Chełmianka Chełm travel to face Busko-Zdroj in the III Liga Group 4 on Saturday 31 October (13:30 WAT). Busko-Zdroj are 13th with 17 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Chełmianka Chełm sit 1st on 40 points (top of the table). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Busko-Zdroj's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Czarni Połaniec 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Chełmianka Chełm's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Korona Kielce II 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chełmianka Chełm arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.9 for Busko-Zdroj and 2.1 for Chełmianka Chełm. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 49% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Chełmianka Chełm to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Busko-Zdroj 0–2 Chełmianka Chełm. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Busko-Zdroj17%fair 6.00 · @7.00
Draw18%fair 5.56 · @5.00
Chełmianka Chełm65%fair 1.53 · @1.30
3.04Expected goals
0.93Busko-Zdroj xG
2.11Chełmianka Chełm xG
49%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Busko-Zdroj 0.9 – 2.1 Chełmianka Chełm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chełmianka Chełm to win✓
65%
1.53
1.30
Double chance
Chełmianka Chełm or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Chełmianka Chełm ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chełmianka Chełm / FT Chełmianka Chełm✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
9.43
–
Form
Busko-Zdroj – last 6
LLLWLW
24 Oct
@ Czarni Połaniec
1–2
L
18 Oct
vs Hetman Zamosc
2–4
L
10 Oct
@ KSZO 1929
0–5
L
4 Oct
vs Wisła Kraków II
3–0
W
26 Sep
@ Naprzód
1–4
L
19 Sep
vs Moravia Morawica
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Chełmianka Chełm – last 6
WDWDWD
24 Oct
vs Korona Kielce II
2–0
W
17 Oct
@ Czarni Połaniec
0–0
D
10 Oct
vs Star Starachowice
2–1
W
4 Oct
@ Hetman Zamosc
2–2
D
26 Sep
vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ KSZO 1929
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Busko-Zdroj and Chełmianka Chełm.
What is the prediction for Busko-Zdroj vs Chełmianka Chełm?
Our pick is Chełmianka Chełm to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Busko-Zdroj vs Chełmianka Chełm?
On our numbers Busko-Zdroj have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Chełmianka Chełm 65%.
How many goals will there be in Busko-Zdroj vs Chełmianka Chełm?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Busko-Zdroj vs Chełmianka Chełm?
Our predicted score is Busko-Zdroj 0–2 Chełmianka Chełm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Busko-Zdroj vs Chełmianka Chełm?
Busko-Zdroj vs Chełmianka Chełm (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
