III Liga Group 4 · PolandPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Busko-Zdroj prediction & analysis
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.83 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 2.0 – 1.1 Busko-Zdroj expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów hold the edge on home soil with a 59% chance of winning, against 21% for Busko-Zdroj.
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.8 per game. Busko-Zdroj have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
We expect around 3.2 goals (2.0 for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów, 1.1 for Busko-Zdroj). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%).
Our pick is Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów to win at a 59% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.83 is better than our fair price of 1.70, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów to win ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.83 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.21 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Half-time result | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów ahead at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.31 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów / FT Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów ✗ | 37% | 2.70 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✓ | 10% | 10.12 | – |
Form
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów – last 6
| 5 Sep | @ Czarni Połaniec | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Hetman Zamosc | 4–2 | W |
| 23 Aug | @ KSZO 1929 | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Aug | vs Wisła Kraków II | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | @ Naprzód | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Aug | vs Moravia Morawica | 0–2 | L |
Busko-Zdroj – last 6
| 6 Sep | vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Korona Kielce II | 1–4 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Star Starachowice | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Aug | @ Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 1–4 | L |
| 8 Aug | @ KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów and Busko-Zdroj.
III Liga Group 4 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chełmianka Chełm | 16 | +20 | 40 |
| 2 |  KSZO 1929 | 16 | +13 | 29 |
| 3 |  Hetman Zamosc | 16 | +8 | 29 |
| 4 |  Wisłoka Dębica | 16 | +4 | 29 |
| 5 |  Naprzód | 16 | +5 | 28 |
| 6 |  Czarni Połaniec | 16 | +3 | 28 |
| 7 |  Wisła Kraków II | 16 | +1 | 25 |
| 8 |  Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 16 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 |  Star Starachowice | 16 | +3 | 23 |
| 10 |  Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 |  KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 16 | -3 | 19 |
| 12 |  Jarosław | 16 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Busko-Zdroj | 16 | -14 | 17 |
| 14 |  Sokół Kolb. | 16 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 |  Korona Kielce II | 16 | -6 | 15 |
| 16 |  Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 16 | -15 | 13 |
| 17 |  Moravia Morawica | 16 | -10 | 12 |
| 18 |  Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 16 | -13 | 12 |
More III Liga Group 4 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Busko-Zdroj?
Our pick is Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Busko-Zdroj?
On our numbers Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Busko-Zdroj 21%.
How many goals will there be in Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Busko-Zdroj?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Busko-Zdroj?
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Busko-Zdroj (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.