III Liga Group 4 · PolandWiślanie Jaśkowice vs Jarosław prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Wiślanie Jaśkowice 1.6 – 1.6 Jarosław expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Wiślanie Jaśkowice and Jarosław on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Wiślanie Jaśkowice have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.0 per game. Jarosław have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 2.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 3.1 goals (1.6 for Wiślanie Jaśkowice, 1.6 for Jarosław). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (8%), 2–1 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.66.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Jarosław to win ✗ | 40% | 2.51 | 2.62 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 39% | 2.58 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Jarosław / FT Jarosław ✗ | 23% | 4.38 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 8% | 11.85 | – |
Form
Wiślanie Jaśkowice – last 6
| 6 Sep | @ Busko-Zdroj | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Aug | vs Czarni Połaniec | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Hetman Zamosc | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Aug | vs KSZO 1929 | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Aug | @ Wisła Kraków II | 2–1 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs Naprzód | 2–0 | W |
Jarosław – last 6
| 5 Sep | vs Korona Kielce II | 6–2 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Star Starachowice | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Aug | @ Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Aug | @ Wisłoka Dębica | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wiślanie Jaśkowice and Jarosław.
III Liga Group 4 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chełmianka Chełm | 16 | +20 | 40 |
| 2 |  KSZO 1929 | 16 | +13 | 29 |
| 3 |  Hetman Zamosc | 16 | +8 | 29 |
| 4 |  Wisłoka Dębica | 16 | +4 | 29 |
| 5 |  Naprzód | 16 | +5 | 28 |
| 6 |  Czarni Połaniec | 16 | +3 | 28 |
| 7 |  Wisła Kraków II | 16 | +1 | 25 |
| 8 |  Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 16 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 |  Star Starachowice | 16 | +3 | 23 |
| 10 |  Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 |  KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 16 | -3 | 19 |
| 12 |  Jarosław | 16 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Busko-Zdroj | 16 | -14 | 17 |
| 14 |  Sokół Kolb. | 16 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 |  Korona Kielce II | 16 | -6 | 15 |
| 16 |  Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 16 | -15 | 13 |
| 17 |  Moravia Morawica | 16 | -10 | 12 |
| 18 |  Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 16 | -13 | 12 |
More III Liga Group 4 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Jarosław?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Jarosław?
On our numbers Wiślanie Jaśkowice have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Jarosław 40%.
How many goals will there be in Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Jarosław?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Jarosław?
Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Jarosław (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.