Moravia Morawica vs Jarosław prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultJarosław to win ✗62% · @1.57
Double chanceJarosław or draw ✓83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.42
Moravia Morawica vs Jarosław preview and prediction
The match
Moravia Morawica host Jarosław in the III Liga Group 4 on Sunday 27 September, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). Moravia Morawica are 17th with 12 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Jarosław sit 12th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Moravia Morawica's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Busko-Zdroj 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Jarosław's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 5–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game.
Jarosław arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 July 2026, finished Jarosław 3–2 Moravia Morawica.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.2 for Moravia Morawica and 2.3 for Jarosław. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Moravia Morawica 1–2 Jarosław. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Moravia Morawica17%fair 6.02 · @4.33
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @4.20
Jarosław62%fair 1.62 · @1.57
3.50Expected goals
1.18Moravia Morawica xG
2.32Jarosław xG
53%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–18%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
0–36%
From our goals model: Moravia Morawica 1.2 – 2.3 Jarosław expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Moravia Morawica vs Jarosław?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Moravia Morawica vs Jarosław?
On our numbers Moravia Morawica have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Jarosław 62%.
How many goals will there be in Moravia Morawica vs Jarosław?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moravia Morawica vs Jarosław?
Our predicted score is Moravia Morawica 1–2 Jarosław, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Moravia Morawica vs Jarosław?
Moravia Morawica vs Jarosław (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
