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Jarosław vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów prediction & analysis

63%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultJarosław to win ✓59% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25

Jarosław vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów preview and prediction

The match

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów travel to face Jarosław in the III Liga Group 4 on Saturday 19 September (15:00 WAT). Jarosław are 12th with 18 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów sit 18th on 12 points (in the bottom three).

Form guide

Jarosław's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Wiślanie Jaśkowice 1–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Busko-Zdroj 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Jarosław arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.1 for Jarosław and 1.2 for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Jarosław 2–1 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Jarosław59%fair 1.69 · @1.75
Draw17%fair 6.03 · @4.00
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów24%fair 4.12 · @3.40
3.27Expected goals
2.06Jarosław xG
1.21Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów xG
53%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Jarosław 2.1 – 1.2 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJarosław to win ✓59%1.691.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83%1.201.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.90–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.591.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗59%1.70–
Half-time resultJarosław ahead at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Jarosław / FT Jarosław ✗36%2.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.25–

Form

Jarosław – last 6

LWWWWL
12 Sep@ Wiślanie Jaśkowice1–3L
5 Sepvs Korona Kielce II6–2W
29 Augvs Star Starachowice3–0W
22 Augvs Podlasie Biała Podlaska2–0W
19 Aug@ Siarka Tarnobrzeg3–1W
15 Augvs KS Wieczysta Krakow II1–2L
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów – last 6

WLWLDL
12 Sepvs Busko-Zdroj2–1W
5 Sep@ Czarni Połaniec0–3L
29 Augvs Hetman Zamosc4–2W
23 Aug@ KSZO 19290–1L
19 Augvs Wisła Kraków II1–1D
15 Aug@ Naprzód1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Jarosław and Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów.

Jarosław vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 4 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Chełmianka Chełm161240+2040
2KSZO 192916853+1329
3Hetman Zamosc16853+829
4Wisłoka Dębica16925+429
5Naprzód16844+528
6Czarni Połaniec16844+328
7Wisła Kraków II16745+125
8Wiślanie Jaśkowice16736+624
9Star Starachowice16655+323
10Siarka Tarnobrzeg16637021
11KS Wieczysta Krakow II16547-319
12Jarosław16538+218
13Busko-Zdroj16529-1417
14Sokół Kolb.16376-416
15Korona Kielce II16439-615
16Podlasie Biała Podlaska16349-1513
17Moravia Morawica163310-1012
18Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów163310-1312

More III Liga Group 4 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jarosław vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Jarosław vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów?

On our numbers Jarosław have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 24%.

How many goals will there be in Jarosław vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Jarosław vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów?

Our predicted score is Jarosław 2–1 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Jarosław vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów?

Jarosław vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.