Jarosław vs Star Starachowice prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
1
Value bet: Jarosław to win @ 2.62 – our chance 44% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultJarosław to win ✓44% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · fair 1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.43
Jarosław vs Star Starachowice preview and prediction
The match
Star Starachowice travel to face Jarosław in the III Liga Group 4 on Saturday 29 August (15:30 WAT). Jarosław are 12th with 18 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Star Starachowice sit 9th on 23 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Jarosław's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Podlasie Biała Podlaska 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Star Starachowice's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Busko-Zdroj 1–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.7 for Jarosław and 1.5 for Star Starachowice. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jarosław 44%, draw 21%, Star Starachowice 36%.
Value angle: Jarosław to win at 2.62 – 44% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Jarosław 2–1 Star Starachowice. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jarosław44%fair 2.29 · @2.62
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.90
Star Starachowice36%fair 2.80 · @2.10
3.27Expected goals
1.73Jarosław xG
1.54Star Starachowice xG
56%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Jarosław 1.7 – 1.5 Star Starachowice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jarosław to win✓
44%
2.29
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.66
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jarosław / FT Jarosław✓
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.43
–
Form
Jarosław – last 6
WWLLDW
22 Aug
vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska
2–0
W
19 Aug
@ Siarka Tarnobrzeg
3–1
W
15 Aug
vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Wisłoka Dębica
1–3
L
1 Aug
vs Sokół Kolb.
2–2
D
25 Jul
vs Moravia Morawica
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Star Starachowice – last 6
DWLDLW
22 Aug
vs Busko-Zdroj
1–1
D
19 Aug
vs Czarni Połaniec
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Hetman Zamosc
0–3
L
9 Aug
vs KSZO 1929
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Wisła Kraków II
2–4
L
18 Jul
vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jarosław and Star Starachowice.
What is the prediction for Jarosław vs Star Starachowice?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Jarosław vs Star Starachowice?
On our numbers Jarosław have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Star Starachowice 36%.
How many goals will there be in Jarosław vs Star Starachowice?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jarosław vs Star Starachowice?
Our predicted score is Jarosław 2–1 Star Starachowice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Jarosław vs Star Starachowice?
Jarosław vs Star Starachowice (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
