Value bet: Jarosław to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultWisłoka Dębica to win ✓45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.10
Wisłoka Dębica vs Jarosław preview and prediction
The match
The III Liga Group 4 sees Wisłoka Dębica take on Jarosław on Saturday 8 August, kicking off at 18:08 (WAT). Wisłoka Dębica are 4th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Jarosław sit 12th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Wisłoka Dębica's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Busko-Zdroj 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Jarosław's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Sokół Kolb. 2–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Jarosław arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.6 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.6 for Wisłoka Dębica and 1.3 for Jarosław. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Jarosław to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 55% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Wisłoka Dębica 2–1 Jarosław. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wisłoka Dębica45%fair 2.23 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.40
Jarosław35%fair 2.90 · @3.10
2.92Expected goals
1.58Wisłoka Dębica xG
1.34Jarosław xG
54%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Wisłoka Dębica 1.6 – 1.3 Jarosław expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wisłoka Dębica to win✓
45%
2.23
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wisłoka Dębica / FT Wisłoka Dębica✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.10
–
Form
Wisłoka Dębica – last 6
DLLDLL
2 Aug
@ Busko-Zdroj
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Sokół Kolb.
1–2
L
15 Jul
vs Widzew II
2–5
L
11 Jul
vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
0–0
D
30 May
vs Chełmianka Chełm
1–2
L
23 May
@ Avia Świdnik
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Jarosław – last 5
DWLWD
1 Aug
vs Sokół Kolb.
2–2
D
25 Jul
vs Moravia Morawica
3–2
W
23 Jul
@ Puszcza Niepołomice
1–2
L
15 Jul
@ Czarni Połaniec
4–1
W
11 Jul
vs Sokół Kolb.
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
100%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wisłoka Dębica and Jarosław.
What is the prediction for Wisłoka Dębica vs Jarosław?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Wisłoka Dębica vs Jarosław?
On our numbers Wisłoka Dębica have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Jarosław 35%.
How many goals will there be in Wisłoka Dębica vs Jarosław?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wisłoka Dębica vs Jarosław?
Our predicted score is Wisłoka Dębica 2–1 Jarosław, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Wisłoka Dębica vs Jarosław?
Wisłoka Dębica vs Jarosław (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 18:08 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
