Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Chełmianka Chełm prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.47 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.47Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultChełmianka Chełm to win ✓42% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.54
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.31
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Chełmianka Chełm preview and prediction
The match
The III Liga Group 4 sees Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów take on Chełmianka Chełm on Saturday 1 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów are 18th with 12 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Chełmianka Chełm sit 1st on 40 points (top of the table). A gap of 28 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Hetman Zamosc 2–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Chełmianka Chełm's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Hetman Zamosc 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Chełmianka Chełm arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów and 1.6 for Chełmianka Chełm. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.47. Predicted score: Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 1–1 Chełmianka Chełm. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów35%fair 2.84 · @2.65
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.60
Chełmianka Chełm42%fair 2.35 · @2.35
2.98Expected goals
1.41Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów xG
1.57Chełmianka Chełm xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 1.4 – 1.6 Chełmianka Chełm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chełmianka Chełm to win✓
42%
2.35
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.54
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.47
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chełmianka Chełm / FT Chełmianka Chełm✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.31
–
Form
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów – last 6
DLWLWL
25 Jul
@ Hetman Zamosc
2–2
D
11 Jul
@ Hutnik Kraków
1–3
L
29 May
vs Star Starachowice
3–1
W
23 May
@ Wisła Kraków II
1–3
L
13 May
@ Świdniczanka Świdnik
3–0
W
3 May
vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Chełmianka Chełm – last 6
WLWWDW
18 Jul
vs Hetman Zamosc
2–1
W
11 Jul
@ Górnik Łęczna
1–4
L
30 May
@ Wisłoka Dębica
2–1
W
23 May
vs Naprzód
2–0
W
17 May
@ Cracovia Kraków II
3–3
D
13 May
vs KSZO 1929
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów and Chełmianka Chełm.
What is the prediction for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Chełmianka Chełm?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.47.
Who will win Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Chełmianka Chełm?
On our numbers Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chełmianka Chełm 42%.
How many goals will there be in Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Chełmianka Chełm?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Chełmianka Chełm?
Our predicted score is Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 1–1 Chełmianka Chełm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Chełmianka Chełm?
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Chełmianka Chełm (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
