Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlianza Atletico to win ✓56% · @1.60
Double chanceAlianza Atletico or draw ✓80% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.34
Alianza Atletico vs Molinos El Pirata preview and prediction
The match
Molinos El Pirata travel to Estadio Campeones del 36 in the on Friday 10 July (21:30 WAT) to face Alianza Atletico.
Form guide
Alianza Atletico's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Alianza Lima 2–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Molinos El Pirata's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Atletico Grau 2–3 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.7 for Alianza Atletico and 1.1 for Molinos El Pirata. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 54% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Alianza Atletico 1–1 Molinos El Pirata. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alianza Atletico56%fair 1.80 · @1.60
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.50
Molinos El Pirata20%fair 5.03 · @5.40
2.80Expected goals
1.70Alianza Atletico xG
1.09Molinos El Pirata xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: Alianza Atletico 1.7 – 1.1 Molinos El Pirata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Alianza Atletico
Molinos El Pirata
Attack vs average
+9%
+18%
Goals conceded vs average
-15%
+10%
Our expected goals here
1.82
1.36
Our own ratings from every result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza Atletico to win✓
56%
1.80
1.60
Double chance
Alianza Atletico or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza Atletico / FT Alianza Atletico✗
31%
3.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.34
–
Form
Alianza Atletico – last 6
WWWLLD
28 Jun
@ Alianza Lima
2–1
W
19 Jun
vs Cesar Vallejo
2–0
W
13 Jun
@ Carlos A. Mannucci
1–0
W
31 May
@ FBC Melgar
1–3
L
29 May
@ Tigre
0–2
L
24 May
vs FC Cajamarca
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Molinos El Pirata – last 6
LWWLWW
22 Jun
@ Atletico Grau
2–3
L
13 Jun
vs Universitario
2–0
W
1 Jun
vs Deportivo Llacuabamba
3–1
W
24 May
@ Carlos A. Mannucci
0–1
L
11 May
vs Academia Cantolao
2–1
W
27 Apr
vs Cesar Vallejo
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza Atletico and Molinos El Pirata.
What is the prediction for Alianza Atletico vs Molinos El Pirata?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Alianza Atletico vs Molinos El Pirata?
On our numbers Alianza Atletico have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Molinos El Pirata 20%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Atletico vs Molinos El Pirata?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Atletico vs Molinos El Pirata?
Our predicted score is Alianza Atletico 1–1 Molinos El Pirata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Alianza Atletico vs Molinos El Pirata?
Alianza Atletico vs Molinos El Pirata () kicks off on Friday 10 July 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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