Sturm Graz II vs SV Kapfenberg prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Sturm Graz II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Sturm Graz II to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSturm Graz II to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceSturm Graz II or draw ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.63
Sturm Graz II vs SV Kapfenberg preview and prediction
The match
SV Kapfenberg travel to Solarstadion Gleisdorf in the 2. Liga on Sunday 18 October (09:30 WAT) to face Sturm Graz II. Sturm Graz II are 12th with 14 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while SV Kapfenberg sit 14th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Sturm Graz II's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to FC Liefering 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
SV Kapfenberg's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Austria Vienna (Am) 0–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 March 2026, finished SV Kapfenberg 2–1 Sturm Graz II.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.5 for Sturm Graz II and 1.5 for SV Kapfenberg. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 67%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Sturm Graz II to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sturm Graz II or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Sturm Graz II 2–1 SV Kapfenberg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sturm Graz II58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.60
SV Kapfenberg20%fair 5.01 · @3.40
4.00Expected goals
2.51Sturm Graz II xG
1.49SV Kapfenberg xG
67%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Sturm Graz II 2.5 – 1.5 SV Kapfenberg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sturm Graz II vs SV Kapfenberg?
Our pick is Sturm Graz II or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sturm Graz II vs SV Kapfenberg?
On our numbers Sturm Graz II have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and SV Kapfenberg 20%.
How many goals will there be in Sturm Graz II vs SV Kapfenberg?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sturm Graz II vs SV Kapfenberg?
Our predicted score is Sturm Graz II 2–1 SV Kapfenberg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Sturm Graz II vs SV Kapfenberg?
Sturm Graz II vs SV Kapfenberg (2. Liga) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Solarstadion Gleisdorf.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
