First Vienna vs SKN ST. Polten prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
First Vienna or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.29Odds
1
Value bet: First Vienna to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFirst Vienna to win ✓58% · @1.91
Double chanceFirst Vienna or draw ✓83% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.58
First Vienna vs SKN ST. Polten preview and prediction
The match
First Vienna host SKN ST. Polten in the 2. Liga on Friday 9 October, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Hohe Warte Stadium. First Vienna are 2nd with 26 points from 12 games (in the top four), while SKN ST. Polten sit 11th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
First Vienna's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Lask Linz 1–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
SKN ST. Polten's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 2–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
First Vienna arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 February 2026, finished First Vienna 2–1 SKN ST. Polten.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for First Vienna and 0.7 for SKN ST. Polten. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: First Vienna 58%, draw 24%, SKN ST. Polten 17%.
Safer route: First Vienna or draw (83%) at 1.29.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.55.
Value angle: First Vienna to win at 1.91 – 58% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was First Vienna or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.29, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: First Vienna 1–0 SKN ST. Polten. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
First Vienna58%fair 1.72 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.40
SKN ST. Polten17%fair 5.72 · @3.40
2.36Expected goals
1.61First Vienna xG
0.75SKN ST. Polten xG
59%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: First Vienna 1.6 – 0.7 SKN ST. Polten expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for First Vienna vs SKN ST. Polten?
Our pick is First Vienna or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win First Vienna vs SKN ST. Polten?
On our numbers First Vienna have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and SKN ST. Polten 17%.
How many goals will there be in First Vienna vs SKN ST. Polten?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for First Vienna vs SKN ST. Polten?
Our predicted score is First Vienna 1–0 SKN ST. Polten, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is First Vienna vs SKN ST. Polten?
First Vienna vs SKN ST. Polten (2. Liga) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Hohe Warte Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
