Value bet: Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSchwarz-Weiß Bregenz to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.42
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.21
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs SV Kapfenberg preview and prediction
The match
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz host SV Kapfenberg in the 2. Liga on Saturday 8 August, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at ImmoAgentur Stadion. Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz are 9th with 16 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while SV Kapfenberg sit 14th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Wacker Innsbruck 0–5 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
SV Kapfenberg's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to FC Liefering 0–4 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 April 2026, finished SV Kapfenberg 3–1 Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.5 for Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz and 1.4 for SV Kapfenberg. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Value angle: Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz to win at 1.95 – 60% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 2–1 SV Kapfenberg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz60%fair 1.66 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @3.65
SV Kapfenberg20%fair 4.91 · @3.35
3.86Expected goals
2.46Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz xG
1.41SV Kapfenberg xG
65%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–06%
2–26%
3–05%
From our goals model: Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 2.5 – 1.4 SV Kapfenberg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz to win✓
60%
1.66
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.62
Half-time result
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz / FT Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz✓
What is the prediction for Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs SV Kapfenberg?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs SV Kapfenberg?
On our numbers Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and SV Kapfenberg 20%.
How many goals will there be in Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs SV Kapfenberg?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs SV Kapfenberg?
Our predicted score is Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 2–1 SV Kapfenberg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs SV Kapfenberg?
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs SV Kapfenberg (2. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at ImmoAgentur Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
