First Vienna vs Sturm Graz II preview and prediction
The match
The 2. Liga sees First Vienna take on Sturm Graz II on Saturday 1 August, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Hohe Warte Stadium. First Vienna are 2nd with 26 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Sturm Graz II sit 12th on 14 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
First Vienna's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Mattersburg SV 2020 2–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Sturm Graz II's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0–4 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
First Vienna arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 April 2026, finished First Vienna 2–1 Sturm Graz II.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for First Vienna and 1.0 for Sturm Graz II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: First Vienna 60%, draw 19%, Sturm Graz II 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: First Vienna 1–1 Sturm Graz II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
First Vienna60%fair 1.66 · @1.68
Draw19%fair 5.21 · @3.75
Sturm Graz II20%fair 4.89 · @4.33
2.94Expected goals
1.93First Vienna xG
1.00Sturm Graz II xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: First Vienna 1.9 – 1.0 Sturm Graz II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for First Vienna vs Sturm Graz II?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win First Vienna vs Sturm Graz II?
On our numbers First Vienna have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sturm Graz II 20%.
How many goals will there be in First Vienna vs Sturm Graz II?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for First Vienna vs Sturm Graz II?
Our predicted score is First Vienna 1–1 Sturm Graz II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is First Vienna vs Sturm Graz II?
First Vienna vs Sturm Graz II (2. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Hohe Warte Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
