Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultZimbru to win ✗39% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗62% · @1.67
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.07
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru preview and prediction
The match
Zimbru travel to Sheriff Arena in the Super Liga on Sunday 12 July (18:00 WAT) to face Sheriff Tiraspol. Sheriff Tiraspol are 1st with 39 points from 18 games (top of the table), while Zimbru sit 2nd on 35 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Sheriff Tiraspol's last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with Aluminij 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Zimbru's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat CSF Bălți 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Zimbru arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Zimbru 2–2 Sheriff Tiraspol.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Sheriff Tiraspol and 1.0 for Zimbru. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sheriff Tiraspol 0–1 Zimbru. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sheriff Tiraspol37%fair 2.72 · @2.62
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.20
Zimbru39%fair 2.53 · @2.35
1.96Expected goals
0.96Sheriff Tiraspol xG
1.01Zimbru xG
43%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sheriff Tiraspol 1.0 – 1.0 Zimbru expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru?
On our numbers Sheriff Tiraspol have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Zimbru 39%.
How many goals will there be in Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru?
Our predicted score is Sheriff Tiraspol 0–1 Zimbru, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru?
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru (Super Liga) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Sheriff Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
