Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPortuguesa to win ✓60% · @1.57
Double chancePortuguesa or draw ✓85% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.88
Portuguesa vs Marcílio Dias preview and prediction
The match
Marcílio Dias travel to Estadio do Caninde in the Serie D on Saturday 11 July (20:00 WAT) to face Portuguesa.
Form guide
Portuguesa's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Marcílio Dias 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Marcílio Dias's last 5: DWDDD Most recently they drew with Portuguesa 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Portuguesa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 July 2026, finished Marcílio Dias 1–1 Portuguesa.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.4 for Portuguesa and 0.5 for Marcílio Dias. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Portuguesa 60%, draw 24%, Marcílio Dias 15%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Portuguesa to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Portuguesa 1–0 Marcílio Dias. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portuguesa60%fair 1.66 · @1.57
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.00
Marcílio Dias15%fair 6.46 · @6.00
1.92Expected goals
1.40Portuguesa xG
0.52Marcílio Dias xG
45%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
0–015%
2–014%
1–111%
0–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Portuguesa 1.4 – 0.5 Marcílio Dias expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Portuguesa vs Marcílio Dias?
Our pick is Portuguesa to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Portuguesa vs Marcílio Dias?
On our numbers Portuguesa have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Marcílio Dias 15%.
How many goals will there be in Portuguesa vs Marcílio Dias?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portuguesa vs Marcílio Dias?
Our predicted score is Portuguesa 1–0 Marcílio Dias, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Portuguesa vs Marcílio Dias?
Portuguesa vs Marcílio Dias (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio do Caninde.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil · Estadio do Caninde
XV de Piracicaba0
Cianorte0