Boca Juniors Res. vs River Plate Res. preview and prediction
The match
The Reserve League sees Boca Juniors Res. take on River Plate Res. on Sunday 5 July, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT). Boca Juniors Res. are 6th with 31 points from 16 games (in the top half), while River Plate Res. sit 8th on 29 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Boca Juniors Res.'s last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Atlético Tucumán Res. 3–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
River Plate Res.'s last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Lanús Res. 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 April 2026, finished Boca Juniors Res. 2–0 River Plate Res..
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Boca Juniors Res. and 1.1 for River Plate Res.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 55%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.82, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Boca Juniors Res. 1–1 River Plate Res.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Boca Juniors Res.43%fair 2.32 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @2.75
River Plate Res.33%fair 3.02 · @3.10
2.42Expected goals
1.31Boca Juniors Res. xG
1.11River Plate Res. xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Boca Juniors Res. 1.3 – 1.1 River Plate Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Boca Juniors Res. vs River Plate Res.?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Boca Juniors Res. vs River Plate Res.?
On our numbers Boca Juniors Res. have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and River Plate Res. 33%.
How many goals will there be in Boca Juniors Res. vs River Plate Res.?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boca Juniors Res. vs River Plate Res.?
Our predicted score is Boca Juniors Res. 1–1 River Plate Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Boca Juniors Res. vs River Plate Res.?
Boca Juniors Res. vs River Plate Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
