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Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca prediction & analysis

73%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
2

Value bet: AEK Larnaca to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultAEK Larnaca to win ✗38% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28

Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca preview and prediction

The match

Apollon Limassol host AEK Larnaca in the Friendlies Clubs on Thursday 16 July, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT).

Form guide

Apollon Limassol's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat GO Ahead Eagles 3–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.

AEK Larnaca's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Ajax 0–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 6 May 2026, finished AEK Larnaca 1–0 Apollon Limassol. Across their last 2 meetings Apollon Limassol have won 0, AEK Larnaca 1, with 1 draw and 1.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Apollon Limassol and 1.3 for AEK Larnaca. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 60%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Apollon Limassol 1–1 AEK Larnaca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Apollon Limassol38%fair 2.64 · @2.35
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.20
AEK Larnaca38%fair 2.63 · @2.80
2.59Expected goals
1.29Apollon Limassol xG
1.30AEK Larnaca xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Apollon Limassol 1.3 – 1.3 AEK Larnaca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAEK Larnaca to win ✗38%2.632.80 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.661.70
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.391.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.911.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.371.28
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT AEK Larnaca / FT AEK Larnaca ✗21%4.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10%10.28–

Form

Apollon Limassol – last 6

WLLLDW
11 Jul@ GO Ahead Eagles3–0W
29 Mayvs Pafos0–2L
22 May@ Omonia Nicosia2–5L
6 May@ AEK Larnaca0–1L
29 Apr@ Apoel Nicosia0–0D
22 Aprvs Apoel Nicosia4–2W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

AEK Larnaca – last 6

LLWWWL
10 Jul@ Ajax0–1L
7 Jul@ PAOK2–3L
4 Jul@ Helmond Sport2–1W
22 May@ Aris4–3W
6 Mayvs Apollon Limassol1–0W
14 Aprvs Omonia Nicosia0–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 May 2026AEK Larnaca v Apollon Limassol1–0
5 Apr 2026Apollon Limassol v AEK Larnaca1–1
Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca?

On our numbers Apollon Limassol have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and AEK Larnaca 38%.

How many goals will there be in Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca?

Our predicted score is Apollon Limassol 1–1 AEK Larnaca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca?

Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.