Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 57% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultWolves to win ✓71% · @1.24
Double chanceWolves or draw ✓92% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.32
Wolves vs Port Vale preview and prediction
The match
Port Vale travel to Molineux Stadium in the League Cup on Friday 7 August (19:45 WAT) to face Wolves.
Form guide
Wolves's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Racing Santander 3–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Port Vale's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Blackpool 1–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Port Vale arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.4 for Wolves and 0.8 for Port Vale. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Wolves 71%, draw 22%, Port Vale 8%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 57% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Wolves to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Wolves 2–0 Port Vale. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wolves71%fair 1.41 · @1.24
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @5.80
Port Vale8%fair 13.21 · @11.00
3.18Expected goals
2.40Wolves xG
0.78Port Vale xG
57%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–010%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Wolves 2.4 – 0.8 Port Vale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wolves to win✓
71%
1.41
1.24
Double chance
Wolves or draw✓
92%
1.08
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.57
Half-time result
Wolves ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wolves / FT Wolves✓
50%
2.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.32
–
Form
Wolves – last 6
WWLWDD
1 Aug
vs Racing Santander
3–0
W
29 Jul
@ Doncaster
2–0
W
25 Jul
vs Real Sociedad
1–2
L
22 Jul
@ Maidenhead
1–0
W
24 May
@ Burnley
1–1
D
17 May
vs Fulham
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Port Vale – last 6
WWWWWL
1 Aug
@ Blackpool
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Real Murcia
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Wigan
3–1
W
14 Jul
vs Tamworth
5–0
W
28 Apr
@ Stockport County
2–1
W
22 Apr
@ Cardiff
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wolves and Port Vale.
Our pick is Wolves to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Wolves vs Port Vale?
On our numbers Wolves have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Port Vale 8%.
How many goals will there be in Wolves vs Port Vale?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wolves vs Port Vale?
Our predicted score is Wolves 2–0 Port Vale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Wolves vs Port Vale?
Wolves vs Port Vale (League Cup) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Molineux Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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