Union La Calera vs Coquimbo Unido prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Union La Calera to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCoquimbo Unido to win ✓45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.42
Union La Calera vs Coquimbo Unido preview and prediction
The match
Coquimbo Unido travel to face Union La Calera in the on Thursday 9 July (00:00 WAT).
Form guide
Union La Calera's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Union San Felipe 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Coquimbo Unido's last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with Deportes Iquique 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Union La Calera and 1.2 for Coquimbo Unido. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union La Calera 33%, draw 22%, Coquimbo Unido 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Union La Calera to win at 3.30 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Union La Calera 0–1 Coquimbo Unido. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union La Calera33%fair 3.05 · @3.30
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.10
Coquimbo Unido45%fair 2.23 · @2.10
2.19Expected goals
0.97Union La Calera xG
1.22Coquimbo Unido xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Union La Calera 1.0 – 1.2 Coquimbo Unido expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Coquimbo Unido to win✓
45%
2.23
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Coquimbo Unido / FT Coquimbo Unido✓
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.42
–
Form
Union La Calera – last 6
DWWDLD
4 Jul
@ Union San Felipe
1–1
D
2 Jul
@ Universidad de Chile
1–0
W
28 Jun
vs Santiago Wanderers
4–0
W
25 Jun
vs Universidad de Chile
3–3
D
21 Jun
vs Union San Felipe
0–2
L
14 Jun
vs Universidad de Chile
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Coquimbo Unido – last 6
DDWDWD
4 Jul
@ Deportes Iquique
1–1
D
1 Jul
@ Deportes Limache
1–1
D
27 Jun
@ San Marcos de Arica
1–0
W
23 Jun
vs Deportes Limache
1–1
D
20 Jun
vs Deportes Iquique
3–0
W
13 Jun
vs O'Higgins
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union La Calera and Coquimbo Unido.
What is the prediction for Union La Calera vs Coquimbo Unido?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Union La Calera vs Coquimbo Unido?
On our numbers Union La Calera have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Coquimbo Unido 45%.
How many goals will there be in Union La Calera vs Coquimbo Unido?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union La Calera vs Coquimbo Unido?
Our predicted score is Union La Calera 0–1 Coquimbo Unido, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Union La Calera vs Coquimbo Unido?
Union La Calera vs Coquimbo Unido () kicks off on Thursday 9 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.